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Events · UFC Fight Night 272: Moicano vs Duncan · Thomas Petersen vs Guilherme Pat
Red corner ThomasPetersen“The Train”Spartan MMA · Farmington, Minnesota
VSSettled
Blue corner GuilhermePatLotus Club · Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo
Heavyweight3 rounds4 Apr 2026
The story going in
  • 5 UFC bouts deep — 4 more than Pat.
  • Carries 13 points more takedown defence than Petersen.
  • Averages 3.0 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Pat.
11-5
Record
6-2
31
Age
31
6' 1"
Height
+5″6' 6"
74″
Reach
+7″81″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
+45
UFC bouts
1
0/20% of wins
Finishes
0/10% of wins
Spartan MMA
Gym
Lotus Club
Farmington, Minnesota
From
Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Guilherme Pat
54.2% confidentTOSS-UP
Method calledDEC 56%
Vs the market+4.2pp
Market had our pick at50%
The fight
Thomas Petersen
LOSS
How it endedDEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Missed We called Guilherme Pat at 54.2%Thomas Petersen won. We had the method right and the man wrong.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Thomas Petersen4 sig landed
HEAD50%2 of 6BODY0%0 of 1LEGS50%2 of 2
Guilherme Pat8 sig landed
HEAD38%3 of 6BODY12%1 of 1LEGS50%4 of 4
4 of 9
Sig.
strikes
8 of 11
0 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:03
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 3Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 8Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Thomas Petersen8 sig landed
HEAD62%5 of 8BODY12%1 of 2LEGS25%2 of 2
Guilherme Pat7 sig landed
HEAD57%4 of 13BODY29%2 of 2LEGS14%1 of 2
8 of 12
Sig.
strikes
7 of 17
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:55
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 7Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 6Clinch 1Ground 0
Round 35:00 of action⚡ 1 KD PetersenEnded 5:00
Thomas Petersen16 sig landed
HEAD94%15 of 19BODY6%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
Guilherme Pat2 sig landed
HEAD100%2 of 3BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
16 of 20
Sig.
strikes
2 of 3
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
4:38
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 0Clinch 2Ground 14
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Majority Decision

Referee · Mike Beltran
Thomas PetersenGuilherme Pat
Official card — Thomas Petersen first
JudgeR1R2R3Total
Michael Bell10–99–1010–829–27
Sal D'Amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide10–99–1010–829–27
Tony Weeks2.1 avg spread · 49% wide9–109–1010–828–28

Media cards — 10 scored, Thomas Petersen first · unofficial

Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com30–27
Chris Connor The Fight City29–28
Simon Samano MMAJunkie.com29–28
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com28–28
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection28–28
Jake Noecker Home of Fight28–28
Steve Duncan mma.uno28–28
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com28–28
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com28–28
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com28–28

Fan vote · unofficial

29-27 Petersen · 31%30-27 Petersen · 6%29-28 Pat · 4%30-26 Petersen · 4%

48 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record