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Events · UFC Fight Night 272: Moicano vs Duncan · Kai Kamaka vs Dakota Hope
Red corner KaiKamaka
VSSettled
Blue corner DakotaHope4oz. Fight Club · Houston, Texas
Lightweight3 rounds4 Apr 2026
We hold no public fighter-register entry for Kai Kamaka yet, so there is no side-by-side to lay out here — an empty ladder would say less than saying that.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Dakota Hope
53.9% confidentTOSS-UP
Method calledDEC 44%
Vs the market+11.4pp
Market had our pick at43%
The fight
Kai Kamaka
LOSS
How it endedDEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Missed We called Dakota Hope at 53.9%Kai Kamaka won. We had the method right and the man wrong.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action⚡ 1 KD Hope
Kai Kamaka21 sig landed
HEAD19%4 of 17BODY48%10 of 12LEGS33%7 of 7
Dakota Hope42 sig landed
HEAD55%23 of 68BODY45%19 of 21LEGS0%0 landed
21 of 36
Sig.
strikes
42 of 89
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:05
Control
0:35
0
Knock-
downs
1
Distance 18Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 19Clinch 22Ground 1
Round 25:00 of action
Kai Kamaka41 sig landed
HEAD44%18 of 30BODY46%19 of 20LEGS10%4 of 4
Dakota Hope32 sig landed
HEAD59%19 of 64BODY41%13 of 18LEGS0%0 of 1
41 of 54
Sig.
strikes
32 of 83
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:10
Control
0:19
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 32Clinch 9Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 20Clinch 12Ground 0
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Kai Kamaka43 sig landed
HEAD51%22 of 47BODY42%18 of 19LEGS7%3 of 3
Dakota Hope32 sig landed
HEAD62%20 of 69BODY34%11 of 15LEGS3%1 of 2
43 of 69
Sig.
strikes
32 of 86
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 3
0:08
Control
0:24
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 33Clinch 10Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 22Clinch 10Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Split Decision

Referee · Keith Peterson
Kai KamakaDakota Hope
Official card — Kai Kamaka first
JudgeR1R2R3Total
Michael Bell9–1010–99–1028–29
Sal D'Amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide9–1010–910–929–28
Bryan Miner2.0 avg spread · 42% wide9–1010–910–929–28

Media cards — 15 scored, Kai Kamaka first · unofficial

Jake Noecker Home of Fight29–28
II I Seán Sheehan SevereMMA.com29–28
II I CombatPress.com29–28
II I Keith Shillan Sherdog.com29–28
II I Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com29–28
II I Dayne Fox Sherdog.com29–28
II I Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com29–28
II I Steve Duncan mma.uno29–28
II I Nolan King MMAJunkie.com29–28
II I Simon Samano MMAJunkie.com29–28
II I MMA Latinoamerica28–29
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com28–29
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com28–29
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com28–29
Dan Levi Best Fight Picks28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Kamaka III · 57%29-28 Hope · 28%30-27 Hope · 9%29-27 Hope · 3%30-26 Hope · 2%

65 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record