Red cornerEthynEwingCSW Training Center · Anaheim Hills, California
VSSettled
Blue cornerRafaelEstevam“Macapa”Nova Uniao · Macapa, Amapa
Catchweight3 rounds4 Apr 2026
The story going in
Lands 5.0 more significant strikes a minute than Estevam.
Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
Averages 3.2 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Ewing.
10-2
Record
14-1
30
Age
−1 yr29
5' 6"
Height
+2″5' 8"
69″
Reach
69″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1
UFC bouts
+23
0/10% of wins
Finishes
0/30% of wins
CSW Training Center
Gym
Nova Uniao
Anaheim Hills, California
From
Macapa, Amapa
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.
The call vs the fight
What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.
Our call
Ethyn Ewing
51.3% confidentTOSS-UP
Method calledDEC 73%
Vs the market−5.6pp
Market had our pick at57%
The fight
Ethyn Ewing
WIN✗
How it endedKO/TKO
Round3 of 3
Clock1:44
Called itWe called Ethyn Ewing at 51.3% and Ethyn Ewing won. The method call missed.
Graded against the official UFC result, from
the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict
is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads
as one. See the full public record →
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes
actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
UFCStats · per round
3 rounds of tape
Round 15:00 of action
Ethyn Ewing20 sig landedRafael Estevam17 sig landed
20 of 47
Sig. strikes
17 of 63
0 of 0
Take- downs
0 of 4
0:15
Control
0:00
0
Knock- downs
0
Distance 17Clinch 2Ground 1
Where it happened
Distance 17Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Ethyn Ewing67 sig landedRafael Estevam14 sig landed
67 of 109
Sig. strikes
14 of 79
0 of 0
Take- downs
0 of 4
0:04
Control
0:00
0
Knock- downs
0
Distance 64Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it happened
Distance 14Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 31:44 of action⚡ 1 KD EwingEnded 1:44
Ethyn Ewing27 sig landedRafael Estevam13 sig landed
27 of 41
Sig. strikes
13 of 43
0 of 0
Take- downs
0 of 0
0:03
Control
0:00
1
Knock- downs
0
Distance 26Clinch 0Ground 1
Where it happened
Distance 13Clinch 0Ground 0
Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.
How it ended
This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.
Won inside the distance
Ethyn Ewing
Round
3
Clock
1:44
Method
KO/TKO
This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Chris Tognoni.
Still to come on this page
Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and
lands in the next pass of this build-out.
The market story coming in this build-out
What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our
pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this
panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.