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Events · UFC Fight Night: Jones vs Sola · Roman Dolidze vs Christian Leroy Duncan
Red corner RomanDolidzeXtreme Couture · Batumi, Adjara
VSSettled
Blue corner Christian LeroyDuncanRange Martial Arts Academy · Gloucester, Gloucestershire
Middleweight Bout3 rounds21 Mar 2026
The story going in
  • Has finished 5 of 9 UFC wins.
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • 13 UFC bouts deep — 5 more than Duncan.
  • Has finished 5 of 6 UFC wins.
15-6
Record
15-2
37
Age
−7 yr30
6' 2"
Height
6' 2"
76″
Reach
+3″79″
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
+513
UFC bouts
8
5/956% of wins
Finishes
+28%5/683% of wins
Xtreme Couture
Gym
Range Martial Arts Academy
Batumi, Adjara
From
Gloucester, Gloucestershire
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Christian Leroy Duncan
73.6% confidentHIGH
Method calledDEC 46%
Vs the market−2.7pp
Market had our pick at76%
The fight
Christian Leroy Duncan
WIN
How it endedDEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Called it We called Christian Leroy Duncan at 73.6% and Christian Leroy Duncan won. The method call landed too.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Roman Dolidze2 sig landed
HEAD100%2 of 6BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Christian Leroy Duncan16 sig landed
HEAD31%5 of 17BODY12%2 of 3LEGS56%9 of 9
2 of 6
Sig.
strikes
16 of 29
2 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 1
2:33
Control
0:37
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 13Clinch 1Ground 2
Round 25:00 of action
Roman Dolidze5 sig landed
HEAD80%4 of 18BODY0%0 landedLEGS20%1 of 1
Christian Leroy Duncan20 sig landed
HEAD30%6 of 24BODY15%3 of 5LEGS55%11 of 15
5 of 19
Sig.
strikes
20 of 44
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:33
Control
0:31
Distance 4Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 20Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Roman Dolidze3 sig landed
HEAD67%2 of 7BODY0%0 landedLEGS33%1 of 2
Christian Leroy Duncan18 sig landed
HEAD39%7 of 11BODY6%1 of 4LEGS56%10 of 11
3 of 9
Sig.
strikes
18 of 26
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 1
3:01
Control
0:00
Distance 3Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 18Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Jason Herzog
Roman DolidzeChristian Leroy Duncan
Official card — Roman Dolidze first
JudgeR1R2R3Total
Anders Ohlsson1.9 avg spread · 43% wide9–109–1010–928–29
Darryl Ransom2.2 avg spread · 53% wide9–109–1010–928–29
Clemens Werner2.2 avg spread · 52% wide9–109–1010–928–29

Media cards — 8 scored, Roman Dolidze first · unofficial

Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection28–29
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com28–29
Combat Press.com28–29
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com28–29
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com28–29
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Duncan · 44%29-28 Dolidze · 41%30-27 Duncan · 10%30-27 Dolidze · 3%

109 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record