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Events · UFC Fight Night: Jones vs Sola · Mantas Kondratavicius vs Antonio Trocoli
Red corner MantasKondrataviciusFighter House · Kaunas
VSSettled
Blue corner AntonioTrocoli“Malvado”Salvador, Bahia
Middleweight Bout3 rounds21 Mar 2026
The story going in
  • Carries 49 points more takedown defence than Trocoli.
  • Has dropped 3 straight in the UFC.
9-1
Record
12-7
−9 yr26
Age
35
6' 2"
Height
+3″6' 5"
75″
Reach
+5″80″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kaunas
From
Salvador, Bahia
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Mantas Kondratavicius
82.3% confidentLOCK
Method calledKO/TKO 42%
Vs the market−0.5pp
Market had our pick at83%
The fight
Mantas Kondratavicius
WIN
How it endedDEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Called it We called Mantas Kondratavicius at 82.3% and Mantas Kondratavicius won. The method call missed.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Mantas Kondratavicius28 sig landed
HEAD68%19 of 33BODY32%9 of 9LEGS0%0 landed
Antonio Trocoli6 sig landed
HEAD33%2 of 10BODY33%2 of 2LEGS33%2 of 2
28 of 42
Sig.
strikes
6 of 14
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 1
1:52
Control
1:33
0
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 19Clinch 9Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 2Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action⚡ 1 KD Kondratavicius1 sub attempt
Mantas Kondratavicius39 sig landed
HEAD90%35 of 43BODY10%4 of 4LEGS0%0 landed
Antonio Trocoli5 sig landed
HEAD60%3 of 7BODY0%0 of 1LEGS40%2 of 2
39 of 47
Sig.
strikes
5 of 10
1 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 4
3:37
Control
0:08
1
Knock-
downs
0
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 16Clinch 7Ground 16
Where it
happened
Distance 5Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Mantas Kondratavicius8 sig landed
HEAD88%7 of 17BODY12%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
Antonio Trocoli6 sig landed
HEAD83%5 of 11BODY17%1 of 4LEGS0%0 landed
8 of 18
Sig.
strikes
6 of 15
1 of 2
Take-
downs
1 of 7
0:37
Control
3:22
0
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 7Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 6Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Rich Mitchell
Mantas KondrataviciusAntonio Trocoli
Official card — Mantas Kondratavicius first
JudgeR1R2R3Total
Derek Cleary2.1 avg spread · 43% wide10–910–910–930–27
Vito Paolillo2.1 avg spread · 47% wide10–910–89–1029–27
Clemens Werner2.2 avg spread · 52% wide10–910–89–1029–27

Media cards — 9 scored, Mantas Kondratavicius first · unofficial

Dayne Fox Sherdog.com30–26
Combat Press.com30–26
Dan Levi Best Fight Picks30–26
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com30–26
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com30–26
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com30–26
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com30–26
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection30–27
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

30-26 Kondratavicius · 54%29-27 Kondratavicius · 18%30-27 Kondratavicius · 18%29-28 Kondratavicius · 7%29-27 Trocoli · 2%

44 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record