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Events · UFC Fight Night: Jones vs Sola · Luke Riley vs Michael Aswell Jr.
Red corner LukeRileyNext Generation MMA Liverpool · Liverpool, Merseyside
VSSettled
Blue corner Michael AswellJr.
Featherweight Bout3 rounds21 Mar 2026
The story going in
  • Is 15 points more accurate striking than Jr..
  • Lands 2.2 more significant strikes a minute than Riley.
14-0
Record
11-5
26
Age
−1 yr25
+1″5' 9"
Height
5' 8"
69″
Reach
69″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1
UFC bouts
+12
1/1100% of wins
Finishes
1/1100% of wins
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Luke Riley
59.2% confidentLOW
Method calledKO/TKO 50%
Vs the market−8.2pp
Market had our pick at67%
The fight
Luke Riley
WIN
How it endedDEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Called it We called Luke Riley at 59.2% and Luke Riley won. The method call missed.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Luke Riley33 sig landed
HEAD67%22 of 42BODY30%10 of 11LEGS3%1 of 3
Michael Aswell Jr.20 sig landed
HEAD85%17 of 52BODY15%3 of 6LEGS0%0 of 1
33 of 56
Sig.
strikes
20 of 59
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
1:05
Distance 30Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 18Clinch 2Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Luke Riley35 sig landed
HEAD63%22 of 55BODY29%10 of 11LEGS9%3 of 4
Michael Aswell Jr.30 sig landed
HEAD73%22 of 69BODY27%8 of 12LEGS0%0 landed
35 of 70
Sig.
strikes
30 of 81
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:29
Distance 34Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 29Clinch 1Ground 0
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Luke Riley32 sig landed
HEAD66%21 of 37BODY34%11 of 14LEGS0%0 landed
Michael Aswell Jr.11 sig landed
HEAD82%9 of 37BODY18%2 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
32 of 51
Sig.
strikes
11 of 40
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:00
Control
1:15
Distance 26Clinch 6Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 11Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Jason Herzog
Luke RileyMichael Aswell Jr.
Official card — Luke Riley first
JudgeR1R2R3Total
Anders Ohlsson1.9 avg spread · 43% wide10–910–910–930–27
Vito Paolillo2.1 avg spread · 47% wide10–910–910–930–27
Darryl Ransom2.2 avg spread · 53% wide10–910–910–930–27

Media cards — 11 scored, Luke Riley first · unofficial

Keith Shillan Sherdog.com30–27
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com30–27
Sheehan SevereMMA.com30–27
Combat Press.com30–27
Drake Riggs Uncrowned30–27
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection30–27
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com30–27
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com30–27
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com30–27
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com29–28
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Riley · 56%29-28 Riley · 36%29-28 Aswell · 8%

62 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record