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Events · UFC Fight Night: Petrino vs Asplund · Chris Curtis vs Myktybek Orolbai
Red corner ChrisCurtis“Action-Man”Xtreme Couture · Cincinnati, Ohio
VSSettled
Blue corner MyktybekOrolbaiOsh
Welterweight Bout3 rounds14 Mar 2026
The story going in
  • Has finished 3 of 6 UFC wins.
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • 11 UFC bouts deep — 6 more than Orolbai.
  • Has finished 3 of 4 UFC wins.
32-13
Record
16-3-1
38
Age
−10 yr28
5' 10"
Height
5' 10"
+1″75″
Reach
74″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+611
UFC bouts
5
3/650% of wins
Finishes
+25%3/475% of wins
Cincinnati, Ohio
From
Osh
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Myktybek Orolbai
76.4% confidentHIGH
Method calledDEC 49%
Vs the market+5.9pp
Market had our pick at70%
The fight
Myktybek Orolbai
WIN
How it endedDEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Called it We called Myktybek Orolbai at 76.4% and Myktybek Orolbai won. The method call landed too.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Chris Curtis2 sig landed
HEAD50%1 of 9BODY50%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
Myktybek Orolbai16 sig landed
HEAD81%13 of 16BODY12%2 of 2LEGS6%1 of 3
2 of 10
Sig.
strikes
16 of 21
0 of 0
Take-
downs
7 of 8
0:00
Control
4:02
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 3Clinch 0Ground 13
Round 25:00 of action
Chris Curtis6 sig landed
HEAD67%4 of 11BODY33%2 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
Myktybek Orolbai2 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 1BODY0%0 landedLEGS100%2 of 2
6 of 13
Sig.
strikes
2 of 3
0 of 0
Take-
downs
7 of 9
0:06
Control
4:13
Distance 4Clinch 1Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 1Ground 1
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Chris Curtis4 sig landed
HEAD25%1 of 5BODY75%3 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
Myktybek Orolbai2 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 1BODY50%1 of 2LEGS50%1 of 1
4 of 8
Sig.
strikes
2 of 4
0 of 0
Take-
downs
5 of 7
0:00
Control
4:18
Distance 3Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Chris Tognoni
Chris CurtisMyktybek Orolbai
Official card — Chris Curtis first
JudgeR1R2R3Total
Adalaide Byrd2.0 avg spread · 46% wide9–109–109–1027–30
Eric Colón2.0 avg spread · 42% wide9–109–109–1027–30
Ron McCarthy2.0 avg spread · 41% wide9–109–109–1027–30

Media cards — 12 scored, Chris Curtis first · unofficial

Keith Shillan Sherdog.com26–30
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com26–30
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection26–30
Michael DeSantis MMASucka.com26–30
Jake Noecker Home of Fight27–30
Combat Press.com27–30
Chris Connor The Fight City27–30
Steve Duncan mma.uno27–30
Matthew Wells MMAJunkie.com27–30
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com27–30
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com27–30
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com27–30

Fan vote · unofficial

30-26 Orolbai · 54%30-27 Orolbai · 35%29-28 Orolbai · 3%30-27 Curtis · 3%30-25 Orolbai · 3%

37 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record