This Saturday Nurmagomedov vs Song · Oriental Sports Center Pudong District China See this week's picks →
Events · UFC Fight Night: Petrino vs Asplund · Bolaji Oki vs Manoel Sousa
Red corner BolajiOki“The Zulu Warrior”Brussels
VSSettled
Blue corner ManoelSousa“Manumito”Academia Octogono · Acarau, Ceara
Lightweight Bout3 rounds14 Mar 2026
10-4
Record
15-1
30
Age
−2 yr28
+1″5' 10"
Height
5' 9"
+3″73″
Reach
70″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brussels
From
Acarau, Ceara
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Manoel Sousa
65.7% confidentMED
Method calledDEC 43%
Vs the market−4.6pp
Market had our pick at70%
The fight
Manoel Sousa
WIN
How it endedKO/TKO
Round3 of 3
Clock4:12
Called it We called Manoel Sousa at 65.7% and Manoel Sousa won. The method call missed.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action⚡ 1 KD Sousa1 sub attempt
Bolaji Oki20 sig landed
HEAD40%8 of 14BODY45%9 of 9LEGS15%3 of 3
Manoel Sousa10 sig landed
HEAD80%8 of 18BODY20%2 of 2LEGS0%0 of 1
20 of 26
Sig.
strikes
10 of 21
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:51
Control
0:59
0
Knock-
downs
1
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 3Clinch 12Ground 5
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 5Ground 1
Round 25:00 of action
Bolaji Oki32 sig landed
HEAD50%16 of 49BODY34%11 of 18LEGS16%5 of 5
Manoel Sousa13 sig landed
HEAD54%7 of 56BODY31%4 of 8LEGS15%2 of 2
32 of 72
Sig.
strikes
13 of 66
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 2
0:28
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 28Clinch 4Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 12Clinch 1Ground 0
Round 34:12 of action⚡ 1 KD SousaEnded 4:12
Bolaji Oki32 sig landed
HEAD56%18 of 48BODY25%8 of 17LEGS19%6 of 7
Manoel Sousa48 sig landed
HEAD69%33 of 76BODY21%10 of 11LEGS10%5 of 5
32 of 72
Sig.
strikes
48 of 92
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:04
Control
0:10
0
Knock-
downs
1
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 31Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 46Clinch 2Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Manoel Sousa

Round
3
Clock
4:12
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Keith Peterson.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record