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Events · UFC Fight Night: Petrino vs Asplund · Bia Mesquita vs Montse Rendon
Red corner BiaMesquita
VSSettled
Blue corner MontseRendonECR Fight Center · Cancun, Quintana Roo
Women's Bantamweight Bout3 rounds14 Mar 2026
The story going in
  • Is 33 points more accurate striking than Rendon.
  • Carries 85 points more takedown defence than Mesquita.
8-0
Record
7-2
−2 yr34
Age
36
5' 4"
Height
+4″5' 8"
67″
Reach
+1″68″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1
UFC bouts
+23
1/1100% of wins
Finishes
0/20% of wins
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Bia Mesquita
56.1% confidentLOW
Method calledDEC 62%
Vs the market+6.1pp
Market had our pick at50%
The fight
Bia Mesquita
WIN
How it endedSUB
Round1 of 3
Clock2:07
Called it We called Bia Mesquita at 56.1% and Bia Mesquita won. The method call missed.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 12:07 of action1 sub attemptEnded 2:07
Bia Mesquita18 sig landed
HEAD89%16 of 25BODY6%1 of 1LEGS6%1 of 1
Montse Rendon0 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 6BODY0%0 of 1LEGS0%0 of 1

No significant strikes landed — 8 thrown

18 of 27
Sig.
strikes
0 of 8
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:46
Control
0:00
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 6Clinch 0Ground 12
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Bia Mesquita

Round
1
Clock
2:07
Method
SUB

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Eric McMahon.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record