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Events · UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs Reyes · Regina Tarin vs Ernesta Kareckaite
Red corner ReginaTarinBonebreakers MMA · Mexico City
VSSettled
Blue corner ErnestaKareckaite“Heavy-Handed”Fighters Land · Kaunas
Catch Weight Bout3 rounds28 Feb 2026
The story going in
  • Carries 8 points more striking defence than Kareckaite.
  • Carries 31 points more takedown defence than Tarin.
8-0
Record
6-2-1
−6 yr21
Age
27
5' 7"
Height
+2″5' 9"
66″
Reach
+5″71″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Bonebreakers MMA
Gym
Fighters Land
Mexico City
From
Kaunas
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Regina Tarin
64.6% confidentMED
Method calledDEC 67%
Vs the market+14.6pp
Market had our pick at50%
The fight
Regina Tarin
WIN
How it endedDEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Called it We called Regina Tarin at 64.6% and Regina Tarin won. The method call landed too.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Regina Tarin37 sig landed
HEAD70%26 of 63BODY24%9 of 12LEGS5%2 of 4
Ernesta Kareckaite33 sig landed
HEAD79%26 of 70BODY15%5 of 9LEGS6%2 of 3
37 of 79
Sig.
strikes
33 of 82
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:21
Distance 35Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 29Clinch 4Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Regina Tarin31 sig landed
HEAD65%20 of 52BODY32%10 of 15LEGS3%1 of 1
Ernesta Kareckaite32 sig landed
HEAD69%22 of 58BODY28%9 of 11LEGS3%1 of 1
31 of 68
Sig.
strikes
32 of 70
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 2
0:14
Control
0:43
Distance 26Clinch 5Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 30Clinch 2Ground 0
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Regina Tarin46 sig landed
HEAD65%30 of 70BODY33%15 of 21LEGS2%1 of 1
Ernesta Kareckaite40 sig landed
HEAD78%31 of 84BODY15%6 of 10LEGS8%3 of 3
46 of 92
Sig.
strikes
40 of 97
1 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:48
Control
0:13
Distance 30Clinch 16Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 29Clinch 11Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Raul Porrata
Regina TarinErnesta Kareckaite
Official card — Regina Tarin first
JudgeR1R2R3Total
Ben Cartlidge2.1 avg spread · 45% wide10–99–1010–929–28
Antonio Guerrero10–910–910–930–27
Dave Tirelli2.2 avg spread · 56% wide10–910–910–930–27

Media cards — 14 scored, Regina Tarin first · unofficial

Drake Riggs Uncrowned30–27
Combat Press.com30–27
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com30–27
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com30–27
Matthew Wells MMAJunkie.com30–27
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com30–27
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com30–27
Christian Stein Sherdog.com30–27
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com30–27
Chris Connor The Fight City29–28
MM AMania.com29–28
Jake Noecker Home of Fight29–28
Steve Duncan mma.uno29–28
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Kareckaite · 39%29-28 Tarin · 31%30-27 Tarin · 20%30-27 Kareckaite · 6%30-28 Kareckaite · 2%

51 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record