This Saturday Nurmagomedov vs Song · Oriental Sports Center Pudong District China See this week's picks →
Events · UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs Reyes · Brandon Moreno vs Lone'er Kavanagh
Red corner BrandonMoreno“The Assassin Baby”Fortis MMA · Tijuana, Baja California
VSSettled
Blue corner Lone'erKavanaghGreat Britain Top Team · London, Greater London
Flyweight Bout3 rounds28 Feb 2026
The story going in
  • Has finished 6 of 11 UFC wins.
  • Carries 29 points more takedown defence than Moreno.
  • 19 UFC bouts deep — 16 more than Kavanagh.
23-10-2
Record
10-2
32
Age
−6 yr26
+1″5' 7"
Height
5' 6"
+3″70″
Reach
67″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+1619
UFC bouts
3
6/1155% of wins
Finishes
0/20% of wins
Fortis MMA
Gym
Great Britain Top Team
Tijuana, Baja California
From
London, Greater London
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Brandon Moreno
62.8% confidentMED
Method calledDEC 63%
Vs the market−4.1pp
Market had our pick at67%
The fight
Lone'er Kavanagh
LOSS
How it endedDEC
Round5 of 3
Clock5:00
Missed We called Brandon Moreno at 62.8%Lone'er Kavanagh won. We had the method right and the man wrong.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

5 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Brandon Moreno19 sig landed
HEAD74%14 of 34BODY16%3 of 4LEGS11%2 of 2
Lone'er Kavanagh18 sig landed
HEAD56%10 of 33BODY17%3 of 7LEGS28%5 of 5
19 of 40
Sig.
strikes
18 of 45
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 19Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 18Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Brandon Moreno24 sig landed
HEAD54%13 of 40BODY25%6 of 9LEGS21%5 of 5
Lone'er Kavanagh42 sig landed
HEAD71%30 of 70BODY12%5 of 6LEGS17%7 of 7
24 of 54
Sig.
strikes
42 of 83
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 23Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 39Clinch 3Ground 0
Round 35:00 of action
Brandon Moreno16 sig landed
HEAD81%13 of 35BODY12%2 of 4LEGS6%1 of 1
Lone'er Kavanagh17 sig landed
HEAD65%11 of 37BODY29%5 of 5LEGS6%1 of 2
16 of 40
Sig.
strikes
17 of 44
0 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:21
Control
0:00
Distance 16Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 17Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 45:00 of action
Brandon Moreno9 sig landed
HEAD56%5 of 10BODY11%1 of 1LEGS33%3 of 4
Lone'er Kavanagh8 sig landed
HEAD50%4 of 8BODY12%1 of 2LEGS38%3 of 4
9 of 15
Sig.
strikes
8 of 14
0 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
3:08
Control
0:00
Distance 5Clinch 4Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 1Ground 0
Round 55:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Brandon Moreno11 sig landed
HEAD55%6 of 14BODY27%3 of 3LEGS18%2 of 2
Lone'er Kavanagh12 sig landed
HEAD42%5 of 12BODY33%4 of 4LEGS25%3 of 3
11 of 19
Sig.
strikes
12 of 19
0 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 1
2:51
Control
0:00
Distance 6Clinch 5Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 11Clinch 1Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Herb Dean
Brandon MorenoLone'er Kavanagh
Official card — Brandon Moreno first
JudgeR1R2R3R4R5Total
Michael Bell9–109–1010–99–1010–947–48
Ben Cartlidge2.1 avg spread · 45% wide9–109–1010–910–99–1047–48
Sal D'Amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide9–109–1010–99–109–1046–49

Media cards — 21 scored, Brandon Moreno first · unofficial

Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection45–50
Sheehan SevereMMA.com45–49
Dan Levi Best Fight Picks46–49
MM A Latinoamerica46–49
MM AMania.com46–49
Steve Duncan mma.uno46–49
Drake Riggs Uncrowned46–49
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com46–49
Nolan King MMAJunkie.com46–49
Nick Baldwin theScore46–49
Combat Press.com46–49
Jake Noecker Home of Fight46–49
Alexander K. Lee MMAFighting.com46–49
Matthew Wells MMAJunkie.com46–49
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com47–48
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com47–48
Scott Fontana New York Post47–48
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com47–48
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com47–48
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com47–48
Christian Stein Sherdog.com48–47

Fan vote · unofficial

49-46 Kavanagh · 41%48-47 Moreno · 22%48-47 Kavanagh · 22%50-45 Kavanagh · 6%49-45 Kavanagh · 6%

162 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record