This Saturday Nurmagomedov vs Song · Oriental Sports Center Pudong District China See this week's picks →
Events · UFC Fight Night: Leavitt vs Valle · Alden Coria vs Luis Gurule
Red corner AldenCoria4oz. Fight Club · Houston, Texas
VSSettled
Blue corner LuisGurule“Grim”Factory X · Sheridan, Colorado
Flyweight Bout3 rounds21 Feb 2026
The story going in
  • Carries 12 points more striking defence than Gurule.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Lands 1.0 more significant strikes a minute than Coria.
13-3
Record
11-4
−5 yr27
Age
32
+3″5' 8"
Height
5' 5"
+3″67″
Reach
64″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1
UFC bouts
+12
4oz. Fight Club
Gym
Factory X
Houston, Texas
From
Sheridan, Colorado
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Alden Coria
76.6% confidentHIGH
Method calledDEC 56%
Vs the market+6.8pp
Market had our pick at70%
The fight
Alden Coria
WIN
How it endedDEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Called it We called Alden Coria at 76.6% and Alden Coria won. The method call landed too.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Alden Coria24 sig landed
HEAD62%15 of 35BODY12%3 of 10LEGS25%6 of 6
Luis Gurule11 sig landed
HEAD45%5 of 24BODY27%3 of 5LEGS27%3 of 4
24 of 51
Sig.
strikes
11 of 33
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:09
Control
0:26
Distance 22Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 10Clinch 1Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Alden Coria22 sig landed
HEAD64%14 of 42BODY23%5 of 6LEGS14%3 of 3
Luis Gurule12 sig landed
HEAD67%8 of 31BODY0%0 of 3LEGS33%4 of 4
22 of 51
Sig.
strikes
12 of 38
0 of 1
Take-
downs
1 of 2
1:02
Control
0:36
Distance 16Clinch 3Ground 3
Where it
happened
Distance 10Clinch 2Ground 0
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Alden Coria33 sig landed
HEAD70%23 of 60BODY21%7 of 10LEGS9%3 of 3
Luis Gurule27 sig landed
HEAD70%19 of 67BODY19%5 of 8LEGS11%3 of 4
33 of 73
Sig.
strikes
27 of 79
1 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:31
Control
0:19
Distance 32Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 25Clinch 2Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Jeff Rexroad
Alden CoriaLuis Gurule
Official card — Alden Coria first
JudgeR1R2R3Total
Junichiro Kamijo2.0 avg spread · 43% wide10–910–910–930–27
Chris Lee2.0 avg spread · 44% wide10–910–910–930–27
Ryan Thompson10–910–910–930–27

Media cards — 11 scored, Alden Coria first · unofficial

Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com30–27
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com30–27
Combat Press.com30–27
Steve Duncan mma.uno30–27
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com30–27
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection30–27
Nolan King MMAJunkie.com30–27
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com30–27
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com30–27
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com30–27
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com30–27

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Coria · 95%29-28 Coria · 5%

20 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record