Round 1
3 of 9
Sig.
strikes
strikes
6 of 8
1 of 2
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 0
2:18
Control
1:39
0
Sub
attempts
attempts
0
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 2
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 4Clinch 2Ground 0
VSSettled
The story going in
- Has finished 4 of 10 UFC wins.
- Comes in on a 4-fight win streak.
- 13 UFC bouts deep — 9 more than Oliveira.
- Carries 15 points more takedown defence than Bautista.
18-3
Record
24-4
32
Age
−2 yr30
5' 9"
Height
5' 9"
69″
Reach
+1″70″
Switch
Stance
Switch
+913
UFC bouts
4
+15%4/1040% of wins
Finishes
1/425% of wins
MMA Lab
Gym
Sombra Team
Phoenix, Arizona
From
Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.
The call vs the fight
What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.
Our call
Vinicius Oliveira
53.8% confidentTOSS-UP
The fight
Mario Bautista
LOSS✗
Graded against the official UFC result, from
the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict
is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads
as one. See the full public record →
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
UFCStats · per round
2 rounds of tape
Round 21 sub attemptEnded 4:46
12 of 18
Sig.
strikes
strikes
6 of 13
4 of 5
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 1
3:29
Control
0:00
1
Sub
attempts
attempts
0
Distance 5Clinch 0Ground 7
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 5Clinch 1Ground 0
Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.
How it ended
This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.
Won inside the distance
Mario Bautista
Round
2
Clock
4:46
Method
SUB
This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Herb Dean.
Still to come on this page
Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.
The market story coming in this build-out
What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.