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Events · UFC Fight Night: Basharat vs Vazquez · Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza
Red corner BrunaBrasilParanavai, Parana
VSSettled
Blue corner KetlenSouza“Esquentadinha”Carioca Academy · Manaus, Amazonas
Women's Strawweight Bout3 rounds7 Feb 2026
The story going in
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Lands 1.4 more significant strikes a minute than Brasil.
11-7-1
Record
17-6
32
Age
−1 yr31
+3″5' 6"
Height
5' 3"
+2″65″
Reach
63″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+16
UFC bouts
5
0/30% of wins
Finishes
1/250% of wins
Paranavai, Parana
From
Manaus, Amazonas
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Ketlen Souza
54.1% confidentTOSS-UP
Method calledDEC 69%
Vs the market−4.2pp
Market had our pick at58%
The fight
Ketlen Souza
WIN
How it endedDEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Called it We called Ketlen Souza at 54.1% and Ketlen Souza won. The method call landed too.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Bruna Brasil12 sig landed
HEAD17%2 of 9BODY75%9 of 9LEGS8%1 of 1
Ketlen Souza5 sig landed
HEAD80%4 of 10BODY20%1 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
12 of 19
Sig.
strikes
5 of 13
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 3
0:10
Control
3:26
Distance 9Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 3Clinch 2Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Bruna Brasil7 sig landed
HEAD29%2 of 8BODY57%4 of 6LEGS14%1 of 2
Ketlen Souza14 sig landed
HEAD50%7 of 17BODY43%6 of 10LEGS7%1 of 3
7 of 16
Sig.
strikes
14 of 30
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 2
0:20
Control
2:15
Distance 6Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 12Clinch 2Ground 0
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Bruna Brasil12 sig landed
HEAD50%6 of 15BODY33%4 of 8LEGS17%2 of 2
Ketlen Souza14 sig landed
HEAD50%7 of 15BODY36%5 of 9LEGS14%2 of 2
12 of 25
Sig.
strikes
14 of 26
0 of 2
Take-
downs
1 of 3
0:11
Control
2:22
Distance 10Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 9Clinch 5Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Herb Dean
Bruna BrasilKetlen Souza
Official card — Bruna Brasil first
JudgeR1R2R3Total
Michael Bell10–99–109–1028–29
Sal D'Amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide10–99–109–1028–29
Ron McCarthy2.0 avg spread · 41% wide10–99–109–1028–29

Media cards — 11 scored, Bruna Brasil first · unofficial

Dan Levi Best Fight Picks27–30
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Combat Press.com28–29
Jake Noecker Home of Fight28–29
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com28–29
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection28–29
Steve Duncan mma.uno28–29
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com28–29
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com28–29
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com28–29
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Souza · 67%30-27 Souza · 12%29-28 Brasil · 12%30-27 Brasil · 4%

24 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record