This Saturday Nurmagomedov vs Song · Oriental Sports Center Pudong District China See this week's picks →
Events · UFC: Kim vs Fan · Sulangrangbo vs Lawrence Lui
Red corner Sulangrangbo
VSSettled
Blue corner LawrenceLuiCity Kickboxing · Hong Kong
Road to UFC 4 Bantamweight Tournament Title Bout5 rounds31 Jan 2026
The story going in
  • Is 9 points more accurate striking than Lui.
  • Averages 5.3 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Sulangrangbo.
10-4
Record
8-1
−9 yr20
Age
29
+2″5' 9"
Height
5' 7"
66″
Reach
+6″72″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Sulangrangbo
59.9% confidentLOW
Method calledDEC 35%
Vs the market+9.9pp
Market had our pick at50%
The fight
Lawrence Lui
LOSS
How it endedDEC
Round3 of 5
Clock5:00
Missed We called Sulangrangbo at 59.9%Lawrence Lui won. We had the method right and the man wrong.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Sulangrangbo25 sig landed
HEAD96%24 of 41BODY4%1 of 2LEGS0%0 of 1
Lawrence Lui12 sig landed
HEAD67%8 of 31BODY8%1 of 6LEGS25%3 of 3
25 of 44
Sig.
strikes
12 of 40
0 of 0
Take-
downs
4 of 8
0:09
Control
1:41
Distance 22Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 8Clinch 0Ground 4
Round 25:00 of action
Sulangrangbo12 sig landed
HEAD100%12 of 35BODY0%0 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
Lawrence Lui20 sig landed
HEAD80%16 of 44BODY10%2 of 7LEGS10%2 of 2
12 of 38
Sig.
strikes
20 of 53
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 4
0:05
Control
1:00
Distance 11Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 16Clinch 2Ground 2
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Sulangrangbo19 sig landed
HEAD89%17 of 40BODY11%2 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
Lawrence Lui20 sig landed
HEAD85%17 of 54BODY15%3 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
19 of 43
Sig.
strikes
20 of 57
0 of 0
Take-
downs
2 of 3
0:00
Control
2:18
Distance 19Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 15Clinch 4Ground 1

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Decision - Split

Referee · Jim Perdios
Official totals — Sulangrangbo first
JudgeTotal
Ben Cartlidge2.1 avg spread · 45% wide28–29
Sal D'amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide29–28
Evan Field2.2 avg spread · 48% wide28–29

Full round-by-round cards are pending a source refresh. The decisions corpus we read currently ends at 2026-05-16, so this bout has the judges’ totals but not their individual rounds yet. Nothing here is estimated to fill the gap — when the scrape is re-run, the grid appears.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record