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Events · UFC: Kim vs Fan · Keiichiro Nakamura vs Sebastian Szalay
Red corner KeiichiroNakamuraEXFIGHT · Yoichi, Hokkaido
VSSettled
Blue corner SebastianSzalayFreestyle MMA · Perth, Western Australia
Road to UFC 4 Featherweight Tournament Title Bout5 rounds31 Jan 2026
8-1
Record
10-2
−4 yr27
Age
31
+4″5' 10"
Height
5' 6"
+4″70″
Reach
66″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
EXFIGHT
Gym
Freestyle MMA
Yoichi, Hokkaido
From
Perth, Western Australia
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Keiichiro Nakamura
58.6% confidentLOW
Method calledKO/TKO 38%
Vs the market+8.6pp
Market had our pick at50%
The fight
Keiichiro Nakamura
WIN
How it endedKO/TKO
Round3 of 5
Clock3:48
Called it We called Keiichiro Nakamura at 58.6% and Keiichiro Nakamura won. The method call landed too.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Keiichiro Nakamura13 sig landed
HEAD15%2 of 18BODY23%3 of 7LEGS62%8 of 8
Sebastian Szalay23 sig landed
HEAD57%13 of 44BODY30%7 of 16LEGS13%3 of 3
13 of 33
Sig.
strikes
23 of 63
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 13Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 22Clinch 1Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Keiichiro Nakamura11 sig landed
HEAD55%6 of 30BODY18%2 of 4LEGS27%3 of 5
Sebastian Szalay24 sig landed
HEAD58%14 of 58BODY21%5 of 15LEGS21%5 of 5
11 of 39
Sig.
strikes
24 of 78
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:00
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 11Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 24Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 33:48 of action⚡ 1 KD NakamuraEnded 3:48
Keiichiro Nakamura21 sig landed
HEAD62%13 of 38BODY29%6 of 7LEGS10%2 of 2
Sebastian Szalay32 sig landed
HEAD62%20 of 48BODY38%12 of 15LEGS0%0 landed
21 of 47
Sig.
strikes
32 of 63
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:04
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 17Clinch 1Ground 3
Where it
happened
Distance 32Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Keiichiro Nakamura

Round
3
Clock
3:48
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Herb Dean.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record