Round 1
12 of 27
Sig.
strikes
strikes
12 of 28
0 of 2
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 0
0:27
Control
0:00
0
Sub
attempts
attempts
0
Distance 12Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 12Clinch 0Ground 0
VSSettled
The story going in
- Has finished 5 of 14 UFC wins.
- Has finished 4 of 6 UFC wins.
- 17 UFC bouts deep — 9 more than Lopes.
28-4
Record
28-8
37
Age
−6 yr31
5' 6"
Height
+5″5' 11"
71″
Reach
+1″72″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+917
UFC bouts
8
5/1436% of wins
Finishes
+31%4/667% of wins
Windang, New South Wales
From
Manaus, Amazonas
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.
The call vs the fight
What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.
Our call
Alexander Volkanovski
57.6% confidentLOW
The fight
Alexander Volkanovski
WIN✓
Graded against the official UFC result, from
the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict
is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads
as one. See the full public record →
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
UFCStats · per round
5 rounds of tape
Round 21 sub attempt
19 of 30
Sig.
strikes
strikes
16 of 34
0 of 0
Take-
downs
downs
1 of 1
0:00
Control
0:39
1
Sub
attempts
attempts
0
Distance 19Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 15Clinch 1Ground 0
Round 3
21 of 35
Sig.
strikes
strikes
17 of 38
0 of 2
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
0
Sub
attempts
attempts
0
Distance 21Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 15Clinch 2Ground 0
Round 4
25 of 44
Sig.
strikes
strikes
22 of 48
0 of 0
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
0
Sub
attempts
attempts
0
Distance 25Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 22Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 5Ended 5:00
21 of 24
Sig.
strikes
strikes
3 of 10
2 of 3
Take-
downs
downs
1 of 4
2:22
Control
1:11
0
Sub
attempts
attempts
0
Distance 11Clinch 3Ground 7
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 1
Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.
Judges’ scorecards
Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.
Official card
Unanimous Decision
Referee · Marc Goddard
Alexander VolkanovskiDiego Lopes
| Judge | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Cartlidge2.1 avg spread · 45% wide | 10–9 | 9–10 | 10–9 | 10–9 | 10–9 | 49–46 |
| Sal D'Amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide | 10–9 | 10–9 | 9–10 | 10–9 | 10–9 | 49–46 |
| Clemens Werner2.2 avg spread · 52% wide | 10–9 | 10–9 | 10–9 | 10–9 | 10–9 | 50–45 |
Media cards — 20 scored, Alexander Volkanovski first · unofficial
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com50–45
Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com50–45
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com50–45
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com50–45
Matthew Wells MMAJunkie.com50–45
Daniel Yanofsky The Sporting News50–45
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com49–46
Stephie Haynes heynottheface.substack.com49–46
Alex Behunin MMA Mania49–46
MM AMania.com49–46
Jake Noecker Home of Fight49–46
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection49–46
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com49–46
Chris Connor The Fight City49–46
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com49–46
Steve Duncan mma.uno49–46
Chris De Santiago MMA Island49–46
Nick Baldwin theScore49–46
Combat Press.com49–46
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com49–46
Fan vote · unofficial
50-45 Volkanovski · 40%49-46 Volkanovski · 32%48-47 Volkanovski · 18%48-47 Lopes · 7%49-46 Lopes · 1%
431 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.
Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.
Still to come on this page
Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.
The market story coming in this build-out
What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.