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Events · UFC Fight Night: Acosta vs Lewis · Natalia Silva vs Rose Namajunas
Red corner NataliaSilvaTeam Borracha · Timoteo, Minas Gerais
VSSettled
Blue corner RoseNamajunas“Thug”Genesis Training Academy · Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Women's Flyweight Bout3 rounds24 Jan 2026
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 7-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 5 of 12 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 2 of 7 UFC wins.
  • 18 UFC bouts deep — 11 more than Silva.
20-5-1
Record
15-8
−5 yr28
Age
33
5' 4"
Height
+1″5' 5"
65″
Reach
65″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
7
UFC bouts
+1118
2/729% of wins
Finishes
+13%5/1242% of wins
Team Borracha
Gym
Genesis Training Academy
Timoteo, Minas Gerais
From
Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Natalia Silva
71.0% confidentHIGH
Method calledDEC 77%
Vs the market−6.3pp
Market had our pick at77%
The fight
Natalia Silva
WIN
How it endedDEC
Round3 of 3
Clock5:00
Called it We called Natalia Silva at 71.0% and Natalia Silva won. The method call landed too.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Natalia Silva15 sig landed
HEAD67%10 of 32BODY7%1 of 3LEGS27%4 of 9
Rose Namajunas13 sig landed
HEAD31%4 of 22BODY8%1 of 6LEGS62%8 of 11
15 of 44
Sig.
strikes
13 of 39
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 15Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 13Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Natalia Silva8 sig landed
HEAD50%4 of 22BODY0%0 of 1LEGS50%4 of 4
Rose Namajunas5 sig landed
HEAD60%3 of 16BODY20%1 of 1LEGS20%1 of 1
8 of 27
Sig.
strikes
5 of 18
0 of 1
Take-
downs
1 of 3
0:37
Control
2:09
Distance 8Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 5Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Natalia Silva28 sig landed
HEAD39%11 of 41BODY25%7 of 10LEGS36%10 of 11
Rose Namajunas8 sig landed
HEAD50%4 of 26BODY12%1 of 6LEGS38%3 of 5
28 of 62
Sig.
strikes
8 of 37
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:47
Control
0:00
Distance 27Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 8Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

Every judge’s round, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Jason Herzog
Natalia SilvaRose Namajunas
Official card — Natalia Silva first
JudgeR1R2R3Total
Derek Cleary2.1 avg spread · 43% wide10–99–1010–929–28
Sal D'Amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide10–99–1010–929–28
David Lethaby2.0 avg spread · 43% wide10–99–1010–929–28

Media cards — 18 scored, Natalia Silva first · unofficial

Scottie Smith Sherdog.com29–28
Drake Riggs Uncrowned29–28
Chris Connor The Fight City29–28
Combat Press.com29–28
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com29–28
Alexander K. Lee MMAFighting.com28–29
Matthew Wells MMAJunkie.com28–29
Devin Tejada Sherdog.com28–29
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com28–29
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection28–29
Steve Duncan mma.uno28–29
Jake Noecker Home of Fight28–29
MM A Latinoamerica28–29
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com28–29
Sheehan SevereMMA.com28–29
Daniel Yanofsky The Sporting News28–29
Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Namajunas · 66%29-28 Silva · 27%30-27 Silva · 1%30-27 Namajunas · 1%

361 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Still to come on this page

Named rather than hidden. It is built from data already on disk and lands in the next pass of this build-out.

The market story coming in this build-out

What the price did in the week before the cage door shut, with the moment our pick was frozen marked on it. Where we captured no price history for a bout, this panel will say so rather than draw a line that was never there.

← Back to the public record