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Events · UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai
From the tape · 22 Nov 2025

Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · Doha, Qatar
Result

Myktybek Orolbai beat Jack Hermansson

Method
KO/TKO
Round
1 of 3
Clock
2:46
WelterweightMain cardReferee · Daniel Movahedi

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

JH
Red corner JackHermansson“The Joker”Frontline Academy · Uddevalla
VSOn the tape
Blue corner MyktybekOrolbaiOsh
Welterweight3 rounds22 Nov 2025
The story going in
  • Has finished 6 of 11 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 2 of 3 UFC wins.
  • 18 UFC bouts deep — 14 more than Orolbai.
  • Averages 7.3 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Hermansson.
24-10
Record
16-3-1
37
Age
−10 yr27
+3″6' 1"
Height
5' 10"
+3″77″
Reach
74″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+1418
UFC bouts
4
6/1155% of wins
Finishes
+12%2/367% of wins
Uddevalla
From
Osh
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 12:46 of action⚡ 1 KD OrolbaiEnded 2:46
Jack Hermansson19 sig landed
HEAD47%9 of 25BODY26%5 of 8LEGS26%5 of 5
Myktybek Orolbai15 sig landed
HEAD60%9 of 25BODY20%3 of 5LEGS20%3 of 3
19 of 38
Sig.
strikes
15 of 33
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:03
0
Knock-
downs
1
Distance 17Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 13Clinch 1Ground 1

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Myktybek Orolbai

Round
1
Clock
2:46
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Daniel Movahedi.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Jack Hermansson

1.48takedowns / 15 min
1.48 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
8.77 / 15m
5.10 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
14.86 / 15m
29%
ACCURACY
59%
0.40 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.50 / 15m

Myktybek Orolbai

8.77takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Jack Hermansson↑ +1.4pp
open 34.5%close 35.9%
Myktybek Orolbai↓ −1.4pp
open 65.5%close 64.1%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Jack Hermansson opened at 34.5% and closed at 35.9% (+1.4pp), with Myktybek Orolbai moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Jack Hermansson18016534.5%35.9%+1.4pp
Myktybek Orolbai-210-20765.5%64.1%−1.4pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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