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Events · UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · Melissa Croden vs Tainara Lisboa
From the tape · 18 Oct 2025

Melissa Croden vs Tainara Lisboa

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Result

Melissa Croden beat Tainara Lisboa

Method
KO/TKO
Round
3 of 3
Clock
4:32
Women's BantamweightMain cardReferee · John Cooper

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner MelissaCrodenRaven House MMA · Crowsnest Pass, Alberta
VSOn the tape
Blue corner TainaraLisboa“Thai Panther”Damas 013 · Santos, Sao Paulo
Women's Bantamweight3 rounds18 Oct 2025
8-3
Record
7-4
34
Age
34
+2″5' 9"
Height
5' 7"
+1″68″
Reach
67″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Raven House MMA
Gym
Damas 013
Crowsnest Pass, Alberta
From
Santos, Sao Paulo
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Melissa Croden27 sig landed
HEAD59%16 of 41BODY19%5 of 7LEGS22%6 of 9
Tainara Lisboa25 sig landed
HEAD52%13 of 43BODY44%11 of 12LEGS4%1 of 1
27 of 57
Sig.
strikes
25 of 56
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:13
Control
1:04
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 26Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 17Clinch 8Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action⚡ 1 KD Croden
Melissa Croden33 sig landed
HEAD70%23 of 45BODY18%6 of 8LEGS12%4 of 4
Tainara Lisboa13 sig landed
HEAD54%7 of 19BODY46%6 of 7LEGS0%0 landed
33 of 57
Sig.
strikes
13 of 26
1 of 1
Take-
downs
1 of 2
1:45
Control
0:52
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 21Clinch 7Ground 5
Where it
happened
Distance 5Clinch 8Ground 0
Round 34:32 of actionEnded 4:32
Melissa Croden39 sig landed
HEAD90%35 of 55BODY3%1 of 1LEGS8%3 of 5
Tainara Lisboa4 sig landed
HEAD75%3 of 8BODY25%1 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
39 of 61
Sig.
strikes
4 of 10
1 of 2
Take-
downs
1 of 5
3:07
Control
0:23
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 10Clinch 5Ground 24
Where it
happened
Distance 1Clinch 3Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Melissa Croden

Round
3
Clock
4:32
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: John Cooper.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Melissa Croden

2.02takedowns / 15 min
2.02 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.67 / 15m
4.04 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
5.39 / 15m
50%
ACCURACY
31%
0.30 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.30 / 15m

Tainara Lisboa

1.67takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.00 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Bantamweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Melissa Croden↑ +18.4pp
open 35.7%close 54.1%
Tainara Lisboa↓ −18.4pp
open 64.3%close 45.9%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Melissa Croden opened at 35.7% and closed at 54.1% (+18.4pp), with Tainara Lisboa moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Melissa Croden170-13235.7%54.1%+18.4pp
Tainara Lisboa-20010764.3%45.9%−18.4pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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