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Events · UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · Patchy Mix vs Jakub Wiklacz
From the tape · 4 Oct 2025

Patchy Mix vs Jakub Wiklacz

UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Jakub Wiklacz beat Patchy Mix

Method
Decision - Split
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
BantamweightMain cardReferee · Jason Herzog

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner PatchyMix
VSOn the tape
JW
Blue corner JakubWiklaczOlsztyn
Bantamweight3 rounds4 Oct 2025
The story going in
  • Averages 2.5 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Wiklacz.
  • Carries 41 points more takedown defence than Mix.
20-3
Record
18-3-2
32
Age
−3 yr29
+1″5' 11"
Height
5' 10"
70″
Reach
+2″72″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action1 sub attempt
Patchy Mix5 sig landed
HEAD40%2 of 3BODY0%0 of 1LEGS60%3 of 4
Jakub Wiklacz13 sig landed
HEAD54%7 of 12BODY38%5 of 10LEGS8%1 of 2
5 of 8
Sig.
strikes
13 of 24
2 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:48
Control
2:01
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 5Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 9Clinch 0Ground 4
Judges · this round · Mix firstMichael Bell9–10Ben Cartlidge9–10Derek Cleary9–10
Round 25:00 of action1 sub attempt
Patchy Mix25 sig landed
HEAD56%14 of 28BODY24%6 of 8LEGS20%5 of 5
Jakub Wiklacz31 sig landed
HEAD42%13 of 29BODY52%16 of 24LEGS6%2 of 3
25 of 41
Sig.
strikes
31 of 56
2 of 4
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:17
Control
0:03
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 19Clinch 5Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 27Clinch 4Ground 0
Judges · this round · Mix firstMichael Bell9–10Ben Cartlidge10–9Derek Cleary9–10
Round 35:00 of action1 sub attemptEnded 5:00
Patchy Mix7 sig landed
HEAD100%7 of 9BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Jakub Wiklacz2 sig landed
HEAD50%1 of 2BODY50%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
7 of 9
Sig.
strikes
2 of 3
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
4:36
Control
0:00
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 6
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Mix firstMichael Bell10–9Ben Cartlidge10–9Derek Cleary10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Split Decision

Referee · Jason Herzog
Patchy MixJakub Wiklacz
Official totals — Patchy Mix first
JudgeTotal
Michael Bell28–29
Ben Cartlidge2.1 avg spread · 45% wide29–28
Derek Cleary2.0 avg spread · 42% wide28–29

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 17 scored, Patchy Mix first · unofficial

Jay Pettry Sherdog.com28–29
MM A Latinoamerica28–29
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com28–29
Dominik Durniat ddreporter Tv28–29
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com28–29
Scottie Smith Sherdog.com29–28
Erich Richter NY Post29–28
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com29–28
MM AMania.com29–28
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection29–28
Steve Duncan mma.uno29–28
Daniel Yanofsky The Sporting News29–28
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com29–28
Combat Press.com29–28
Dan Levi Best Fight Picks29–28
Jake Noecker Home of Fight29–28
Sheehan SevereMMA.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Wiklacz · 59%29-28 Mix · 40%30-27 Wiklacz · 0%30-27 Mix · 0%

379 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Patchy Mix

2.50takedowns / 15 min
2.50 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.00 / 15m
4.03 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
n/a
62%
ACCURACY
n/a
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
2.50 / 15m

Jakub Wiklacz

0.00takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.45 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Bantamweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Patchy Mix↑ +9.4pp
open 64.5%close 74.0%
Jakub Wiklacz↓ −9.4pp
open 35.5%close 26.0%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Patchy Mix opened at 64.5% and closed at 74.0% (+9.4pp), with Jakub Wiklacz moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Patchy Mix-225-33564.5%74.0%+9.4pp
Jakub Wiklacz16326935.5%26.0%−9.4pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2025-10-05 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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