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Events · UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · Andrea Lee vs JJ Aldrich
From the tape · 1 Mar 2025

Andrea Lee vs JJ Aldrich

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

JJ Aldrich beat Andrea Lee

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Women's FlyweightMain cardReferee · Chris Tognoni

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

AL
Red corner AndreaLee“KGB”Karate Mafia · Shreveport, Louisiana
VSOn the tape
Blue corner JJAldrich
Women's Flyweight3 rounds1 Mar 2025
The story going in
  • Has dropped 5 straight in the UFC.
  • Carries 14 points more takedown defence than Lee.
  • Has finished 2 of 5 UFC wins.
13-11
Record
15-7
36
Age
−4 yr32
+1″5' 6"
Height
5' 5"
+2″69″
Reach
67″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
13
UFC bouts
+215
+29%2/540% of wins
Finishes
1/911% of wins
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Andrea Lee18 sig landed
HEAD6%1 of 32BODY44%8 of 12LEGS50%9 of 13
JJ Aldrich21 sig landed
HEAD67%14 of 34BODY10%2 of 4LEGS24%5 of 5
18 of 57
Sig.
strikes
21 of 43
0 of 1
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:00
Control
0:19
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 18Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 18Clinch 2Ground 1
Judges · this round · Lee firstSal D'Amato9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10John McCarthy9–10
Round 25:00 of action
Andrea Lee15 sig landed
HEAD20%3 of 35BODY40%6 of 14LEGS40%6 of 9
JJ Aldrich25 sig landed
HEAD68%17 of 37BODY16%4 of 5LEGS16%4 of 4
15 of 58
Sig.
strikes
25 of 46
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:23
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 15Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 25Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Lee firstSal D'Amato9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10John McCarthy9–10
Round 35:00 of action1 sub attemptEnded 5:00
Andrea Lee20 sig landed
HEAD45%9 of 42BODY55%11 of 18LEGS0%0 landed
JJ Aldrich28 sig landed
HEAD82%23 of 43BODY14%4 of 4LEGS4%1 of 1
20 of 60
Sig.
strikes
28 of 48
1 of 2
Take-
downs
1 of 2
0:46
Control
0:38
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 19Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 25Clinch 3Ground 0
Judges · this round · Lee firstSal D'Amato9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10John McCarthy10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Chris Tognoni
Andrea LeeJJ Aldrich
Official totals — Andrea Lee first
JudgeTotal
Sal D'Amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide27–30
Junichiro Kamijo2.0 avg spread · 43% wide27–30
John McCarthy28–29

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 9 scored, Andrea Lee first · unofficial

Jay Pettry Sherdog.com27–30
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com27–30
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com27–30
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com27–30
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection27–30
Steve Duncan mma.uno27–30
Combat Press.com28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Mathis Desjardins Cageside Press28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Aldrich · 54%29-28 Aldrich · 38%29-28 Lee · 4%30-28 Aldrich · 4%

24 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Andrea Lee

1.65takedowns / 15 min
1.65 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.70 / 15m
3.17 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.80 / 15m
52%
ACCURACY
25%
0.60 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

JJ Aldrich

0.70takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (3.58 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Flyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Andrea Lee↑ +1.2pp
open 37.9%close 39.1%
JJ Aldrich↓ −1.2pp
open 62.1%close 60.9%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Andrea Lee opened at 37.9% and closed at 39.1% (+1.2pp), with JJ Aldrich moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Andrea Lee15014437.9%39.1%+1.2pp
JJ Aldrich-190-17662.1%60.9%−1.2pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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