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Events · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · Jared Cannonier vs Gregory Rodrigues
From the tape · 15 Feb 2025

Jared Cannonier vs Gregory Rodrigues

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Jared Cannonier beat Gregory Rodrigues

Method
KO/TKO
Round
4 of 5
Clock
0:21
MiddleweightMainReferee · Herb Dean

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner JaredCannonier“The Killa Gorilla”MMA Lab · Anchorage, Alaska
VSOn the tape
Blue corner GregoryRodrigues“Robocop”Kill Cliff FC · Porto Velho, Rondonia
Middleweight5 rounds15 Feb 2025
The story going in
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 6 of 10 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 5 of 7 UFC wins.
18-10
Record
20-6
40
Age
−8 yr32
5' 11"
Height
+4″6' 3"
+2″77″
Reach
75″
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
+918
UFC bouts
9
6/1060% of wins
Finishes
+11%5/771% of wins
MMA Lab
Gym
Kill Cliff FC
Anchorage, Alaska
From
Porto Velho, Rondonia
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

4 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action⚡ 2 KD Rodrigues
Jared Cannonier22 sig landed
HEAD45%10 of 25BODY23%5 of 5LEGS32%7 of 8
Gregory Rodrigues25 sig landed
HEAD64%16 of 53BODY32%8 of 11LEGS4%1 of 2
22 of 38
Sig.
strikes
25 of 66
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 1
1:34
Control
0:17
0
Knock-
downs
2
Distance 15Clinch 7Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 19Clinch 6Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Jared Cannonier33 sig landed
HEAD45%15 of 50BODY33%11 of 14LEGS21%7 of 8
Gregory Rodrigues25 sig landed
HEAD64%16 of 59BODY20%5 of 5LEGS16%4 of 4
33 of 72
Sig.
strikes
25 of 68
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:18
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 28Clinch 5Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 25Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 35:00 of action⚡ 1 KD Cannonier
Jared Cannonier34 sig landed
HEAD79%27 of 71BODY6%2 of 2LEGS15%5 of 5
Gregory Rodrigues43 sig landed
HEAD77%33 of 76BODY19%8 of 9LEGS5%2 of 2
34 of 78
Sig.
strikes
43 of 87
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 2
0:17
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 22Clinch 3Ground 9
Where it
happened
Distance 41Clinch 2Ground 0
Round 40:21 of action⚡ 1 KD CannonierEnded 0:21
Jared Cannonier9 sig landed
HEAD78%7 of 11BODY22%2 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
Gregory Rodrigues0 sig landed
HEAD0%0 landedBODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed

No significant strikes landed

9 of 13
Sig.
strikes
0 of 0
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 4Clinch 5Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Jared Cannonier

Round
4
Clock
0:21
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Herb Dean.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Jared Cannonier

0.54takedowns / 15 min
0.54 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.90 / 15m
1.35 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
5.59 / 15m
40%
ACCURACY
34%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.40 / 15m

Gregory Rodrigues

1.90takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.86 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Middleweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Jared Cannonier↓ −21.6pp
open 54.3%close 32.7%
Gregory Rodrigues↑ +21.6pp
open 45.7%close 67.3%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Jared Cannonier opened at 54.3% and closed at 32.7% (−21.6pp), with Gregory Rodrigues moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Jared Cannonier-13019154.3%32.7%−21.6pp
Gregory Rodrigues110-24145.7%67.3%+21.6pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2025-02-16 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-08-30. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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