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Events · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Magomed Gadzhiyasulov vs Bruno Lopes
From the tape · 11 Jan 2025

Magomed Gadzhiyasulov vs Bruno Lopes

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Bruno Lopes beat Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Light HeavyweightMain cardReferee · Mark Smith

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner MagomedGadzhiyasulovKHK MMA · Makhachkala, Dagestan
VSOn the tape
Blue corner BrunoLopes“Brunao”China Team · Cotia, Sao Paulo
Light Heavyweight3 rounds11 Jan 2025
The story going in
  • Averages 1.7 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Lopes.
  • Carries 39 points more takedown defence than Gadzhiyasulov.
9-1
Record
14-4
31
Age
31
6' 2"
Height
6' 2"
+1″75″
Reach
74″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
KHK MMA
Gym
China Team
Makhachkala, Dagestan
From
Cotia, Sao Paulo
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov15 sig landed
HEAD13%2 of 9BODY33%5 of 6LEGS53%8 of 8
Bruno Lopes4 sig landed
HEAD50%2 of 14BODY25%1 of 1LEGS25%1 of 6
15 of 23
Sig.
strikes
4 of 21
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 3
0:00
Control
3:05
Distance 13Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 2Ground 0
Judges · this round · Gadzhiyasulov firstJunichiro Kamijo10–9David Lethaby10–9Bryan Miner10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov9 sig landed
HEAD44%4 of 18BODY44%4 of 6LEGS11%1 of 3
Bruno Lopes17 sig landed
HEAD76%13 of 25BODY24%4 of 6LEGS0%0 landed
9 of 27
Sig.
strikes
17 of 31
0 of 3
Take-
downs
1 of 3
0:14
Control
2:59
Distance 6Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 12Ground 3
Judges · this round · Gadzhiyasulov firstJunichiro Kamijo9–10David Lethaby9–10Bryan Miner9–10
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov7 sig landed
HEAD43%3 of 13BODY14%1 of 1LEGS43%3 of 3
Bruno Lopes12 sig landed
HEAD50%6 of 9BODY42%5 of 6LEGS8%1 of 3
7 of 17
Sig.
strikes
12 of 18
0 of 0
Take-
downs
3 of 8
0:00
Control
3:15
Distance 5Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 8Ground 0
Judges · this round · Gadzhiyasulov firstJunichiro Kamijo9–10David Lethaby9–10Bryan Miner9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Mark Smith
Magomed GadzhiyasulovBruno Lopes
Official totals — Magomed Gadzhiyasulov first
JudgeTotal
Junichiro Kamijo2.0 avg spread · 43% wide28–29
David Lethaby2.1 avg spread · 44% wide28–29
Bryan Miner2.0 avg spread · 42% wide28–29

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 10 scored, Magomed Gadzhiyasulov first · unofficial

Matthew Wells MMAJunkie.com27–30
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com28–29
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com28–29
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com28–29
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com28–29
Combat Press.com28–29
Steve Duncan mma.uno28–29
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Lopes · 68%30-27 Lopes · 32%

25 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

3.67takedowns / 15 min
3.67 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.93 / 15m
5.03 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
9.19 / 15m
73%
ACCURACY
21%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Bruno Lopes

1.93takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.96 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Light Heavyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Magomed Gadzhiyasulov↑ +13.7pp
open 56.9%close 70.6%
Bruno Lopes↓ −13.7pp
open 43.1%close 29.4%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Magomed Gadzhiyasulov opened at 56.9% and closed at 70.6% (+13.7pp), with Bruno Lopes moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov-150-28756.9%70.6%+13.7pp
Bruno Lopes12022443.1%29.4%−13.7pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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