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Events · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · Cub Swanson vs Billy Quarantillo
From the tape · 14 Dec 2024

Cub Swanson vs Billy Quarantillo

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · Tampa, Florida, USA
Result

Cub Swanson beat Billy Quarantillo

Method
KO/TKO
Round
3 of 3
Clock
1:36
FeatherweightCo-MainReferee · Jason Herzog

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner CubSwansonUFC Gym Costa Mesa · Palm Springs, California
VSOn the tape
Blue corner BillyQuarantilloGracie Tampa South · Tampa, Florida
Featherweight3 rounds14 Dec 2024
The story going in
  • Has finished 6 of 14 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 4 of 6 UFC wins.
  • 24 UFC bouts deep — 14 more than Quarantillo.
  • Lands 2.6 more significant strikes a minute than Swanson.
31-14
Record
18-8
41
Age
−5 yr36
5' 8"
Height
+2″5' 10"
70″
Reach
70″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+1424
UFC bouts
10
6/1443% of wins
Finishes
+24%4/667% of wins
UFC Gym Costa Mesa
Gym
Gracie Tampa South
Palm Springs, California
From
Tampa, Florida
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Cub Swanson39 sig landed
HEAD59%23 of 38BODY18%7 of 10LEGS23%9 of 9
Billy Quarantillo37 sig landed
HEAD59%22 of 66BODY16%6 of 10LEGS24%9 of 12
39 of 57
Sig.
strikes
37 of 88
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 3
0:00
Control
0:14
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 39Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 37Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Cub Swanson40 sig landed
HEAD88%35 of 61BODY10%4 of 6LEGS2%1 of 2
Billy Quarantillo38 sig landed
HEAD82%31 of 91BODY16%6 of 12LEGS3%1 of 2
40 of 69
Sig.
strikes
38 of 105
0 of 0
Take-
downs
2 of 5
0:09
Control
1:38
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 36Clinch 4Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 32Clinch 6Ground 0
Round 31:36 of action⚡ 1 KD SwansonEnded 1:36
Cub Swanson20 sig landed
HEAD80%16 of 28BODY10%2 of 2LEGS10%2 of 2
Billy Quarantillo22 sig landed
HEAD55%12 of 31BODY36%8 of 10LEGS9%2 of 3
20 of 32
Sig.
strikes
22 of 44
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 3
0:01
Control
0:15
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 20Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 22Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Cub Swanson

Round
3
Clock
1:36
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Jason Herzog.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Cub Swanson

1.00takedowns / 15 min
1.00 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.47 / 15m
2.00 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
6.12 / 15m
50%
ACCURACY
24%
0.40 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.00 / 15m

Billy Quarantillo

1.47takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.73 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Featherweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Cub Swanson↓ −6.1pp
open 44.2%close 38.1%
Billy Quarantillo↑ +6.1pp
open 55.8%close 61.9%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Cub Swanson opened at 44.2% and closed at 38.1% (−6.1pp), with Billy Quarantillo moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Cub Swanson11015044.2%38.1%−6.1pp
Billy Quarantillo-150-18555.8%61.9%+6.1pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2024-12-15 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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