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Events · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · Mauricio Ruffy vs James Llontop
From the tape · 16 Nov 2024

Mauricio Ruffy vs James Llontop

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · New York City, New York, USA
Result

Mauricio Ruffy beat James Llontop

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Catch WeightMain cardReferee · Kevin MacDonald

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner MauricioRuffyThe Fighting Nerds · Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo
VSOn the tape
Blue corner JamesLlontop“Goku”Team FFC · Lima
Catch Weight3 rounds16 Nov 2024
The story going in
  • Carries 31 points more takedown defence than Llontop.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Lands 1.4 more significant strikes a minute than Ruffy.
14-2
Record
14-5
28
Age
−3 yr25
5' 11"
Height
+1″6' 0"
+2″75″
Reach
73″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1
UFC bouts
+12
The Fighting Nerds
Gym
Team FFC
Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo
From
Lima
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Mauricio Ruffy21 sig landed
HEAD62%13 of 23BODY14%3 of 3LEGS24%5 of 5
James Llontop19 sig landed
HEAD32%6 of 36BODY37%7 of 14LEGS32%6 of 13
21 of 31
Sig.
strikes
19 of 63
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 21Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 19Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Ruffy firstEric Colón10–9Ron McCarthy10–9Bryan Miner10–9
Round 25:00 of action⚡ 1 KD Ruffy
Mauricio Ruffy24 sig landed
HEAD88%21 of 39BODY0%0 landedLEGS12%3 of 3
James Llontop26 sig landed
HEAD31%8 of 49BODY38%10 of 19LEGS31%8 of 10
24 of 42
Sig.
strikes
26 of 78
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 2
0:14
Control
0:19
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 16Clinch 1Ground 7
Where it
happened
Distance 25Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Ruffy firstEric Colón10–9Ron McCarthy10–9Bryan Miner10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Mauricio Ruffy22 sig landed
HEAD86%19 of 35BODY14%3 of 5LEGS0%0 landed
James Llontop45 sig landed
HEAD33%15 of 58BODY49%22 of 29LEGS18%8 of 8
22 of 40
Sig.
strikes
45 of 95
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 4
0:02
Control
1:01
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 20Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 31Clinch 14Ground 0
Judges · this round · Ruffy firstEric Colón9–10Ron McCarthy9–10Bryan Miner9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Kevin MacDonald
Mauricio RuffyJames Llontop
Official totals — Mauricio Ruffy first
JudgeTotal
Eric Colón2.0 avg spread · 43% wide29–28
Ron McCarthy2.0 avg spread · 41% wide29–28
Bryan Miner2.0 avg spread · 42% wide29–28

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 16 scored, Mauricio Ruffy first · unofficial

Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com30–26
Nick Baldwin theScore29–27
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com29–27
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com29–28
Ben Duffy Sherdog.com29–28
Devin Tejada Sherdog.com29–28
Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com29–28
Combat Press.com29–28
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com29–28
John Pollock POST Wrestling29–28
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection29–28
Jake Noecker Cageside Press29–28
Nolan King MMAJunkie.com29–28
Drake Riggs Uncrowned29–28
Steve Duncan mma.uno29–28
Daniel Yanofsky The Sporting News29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Ruffy · 50%29-27 Ruffy · 15%30-27 Ruffy · 13%30-26 Ruffy · 11%29-28 Llontop · 10%

94 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Mauricio Ruffy

0.00takedowns / 15 min
0.00 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.00 / 15m
n/a
ATTEMPTS
n/a
n/a
ACCURACY
n/a
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

James Llontop

0.00takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Mauricio Ruffy↑ +2.8pp
open 84.0%close 86.8%
James Llontop↓ −2.8pp
open 16.0%close 13.2%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Mauricio Ruffy opened at 84.0% and closed at 86.8% (+2.8pp), with James Llontop moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Mauricio Ruffy-700-95384.0%86.8%+2.8pp
James Llontop50062416.0%13.2%−2.8pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2024-11-17 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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