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Events · UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · Marnic Mann vs Ketlen Souza
From the tape · 27 Apr 2024

Marnic Mann vs Ketlen Souza

UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Ketlen Souza beat Marnic Mann

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Women's StrawweightMain cardReferee · Jason Herzog

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

MM
Red corner MarnicMann“The Sawed-Off Savage”SBG Kalispell · Kalispell, Montana
VSOn the tape
Blue corner KetlenSouza“Esquentadinha”Carioca Academy · Manaus, Amazonas
Women's Strawweight3 rounds27 Apr 2024
The story going in
  • Averages 1.4 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Souza.
  • Carries 21 points more striking defence than Mann.
6-3
Record
17-6
31
Age
−2 yr29
5' 0"
Height
+3″5' 3"
+1″64″
Reach
63″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
1
UFC bouts
1
SBG Kalispell
Gym
Carioca Academy
Kalispell, Montana
From
Manaus, Amazonas
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Marnic Mann11 sig landed
HEAD9%1 of 7BODY18%2 of 2LEGS73%8 of 12
Ketlen Souza23 sig landed
HEAD39%9 of 15BODY30%7 of 9LEGS30%7 of 7
11 of 21
Sig.
strikes
23 of 31
1 of 2
Take-
downs
1 of 2
0:23
Control
1:00
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 9Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 21Clinch 1Ground 1
Judges · this round · Mann firstMichael Bell9–10Sal D'Amato9–10Chris Lee9–10
Round 25:00 of action
Marnic Mann11 sig landed
HEAD36%4 of 20BODY18%2 of 6LEGS45%5 of 10
Ketlen Souza27 sig landed
HEAD48%13 of 25BODY33%9 of 11LEGS19%5 of 5
11 of 36
Sig.
strikes
27 of 41
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
1:39
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 11Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 23Clinch 3Ground 1
Judges · this round · Mann firstMichael Bell9–10Sal D'Amato9–10Chris Lee9–10
Round 35:00 of action1 sub attemptEnded 5:00
Marnic Mann9 sig landed
HEAD33%3 of 12BODY11%1 of 2LEGS56%5 of 6
Ketlen Souza30 sig landed
HEAD53%16 of 29BODY40%12 of 13LEGS7%2 of 2
9 of 20
Sig.
strikes
30 of 44
1 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:31
Control
0:32
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 8Clinch 0Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 27Clinch 3Ground 0
Judges · this round · Mann firstMichael Bell9–10Sal D'Amato9–10Chris Lee9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Jason Herzog
Marnic MannKetlen Souza
Official totals — Marnic Mann first
JudgeTotal
Michael Bell27–30
Sal D'Amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide27–30
Chris Lee2.0 avg spread · 44% wide27–30

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 14 scored, Marnic Mann first · unofficial

Tyler Treese Sherdog.com27–30
Devin Tejada Sherdog.com27–30
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com27–30
Jake Noecker Cageside Press27–30
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com27–30
Combat Press.com27–30
Chris De Santiago Sports Illustrated27–30
Dan Levi Best Fight Picks27–30
Dayne Fox The MMA Draw27–30
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection27–30
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com27–30
Steve Duncan mma.uno27–30
MM AJunkie.com27–30
Patrick McCorry Cageside Press28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Souza · 86%30-26 Souza · 10%29-28 Souza · 5%

21 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Marnic Mann

1.90takedowns / 15 min
1.90 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.46 / 15m
5.76 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
3.54 / 15m
33%
ACCURACY
13%
0.40 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.20 / 15m

Ketlen Souza

0.46takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (4.04 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Strawweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Marnic Mann↓ −1.4pp
open 26.6%close 25.2%
Ketlen Souza↑ +1.4pp
open 73.4%close 74.8%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Marnic Mann opened at 26.6% and closed at 25.2% (−1.4pp), with Ketlen Souza moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Marnic Mann26027826.6%25.2%−1.4pp
Ketlen Souza-325-36273.4%74.8%+1.4pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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