This Saturday Hooker vs Parnasse · Accor Arena Paris France See this week's picks →
Events · UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · Kevin Holland vs Michael Page
From the tape · 9 Mar 2024

Kevin Holland vs Michael Page

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · Miami, Florida, USA
Result

Michael Page beat Kevin Holland

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
WelterweightMain cardReferee · Dan Miragliotta

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner KevinHolland“Trailblazer”Phalanx MMA Academy · Fort Worth, Texas
VSOn the tape
Blue corner MichaelPage“Venom”London Shootfighters · London
Welterweight3 rounds9 Mar 2024
The story going in
  • Has finished 9 of 12 UFC wins.
  • Carries 12 points more striking defence than Holland.
  • Lands 2.0 more significant strikes a minute than Page.
29-15
Record
25-3
−5 yr31
Age
36
6' 3"
Height
6' 3"
+2″81″
Reach
79″
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Phalanx MMA Academy
Gym
London Shootfighters
Fort Worth, Texas
From
London
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Kevin Holland11 sig landed
HEAD36%4 of 19BODY9%1 of 1LEGS55%6 of 6
Michael Page17 sig landed
HEAD71%12 of 21BODY18%3 of 4LEGS12%2 of 2
11 of 26
Sig.
strikes
17 of 27
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:54
Control
0:49
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 9Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 16Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Holland firstEric Colón9–10Chris Lee9–10Dave Tirelli9–10
Round 25:00 of action1 sub attempt
Kevin Holland16 sig landed
HEAD44%7 of 15BODY19%3 of 4LEGS38%6 of 8
Michael Page10 sig landed
HEAD60%6 of 10BODY30%3 of 4LEGS10%1 of 1
16 of 27
Sig.
strikes
10 of 15
1 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:05
Control
0:00
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 8Clinch 2Ground 6
Where it
happened
Distance 10Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Holland firstEric Colón10–9Chris Lee10–9Dave Tirelli10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Kevin Holland2 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 3BODY0%0 of 1LEGS100%2 of 4
Michael Page14 sig landed
HEAD71%10 of 16BODY14%2 of 2LEGS14%2 of 2
2 of 8
Sig.
strikes
14 of 20
1 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 3
1:23
Control
0:37
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 12Clinch 1Ground 1
Judges · this round · Holland firstEric Colón9–10Chris Lee9–10Dave Tirelli9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Dan Miragliotta
Kevin HollandMichael Page
Official totals — Kevin Holland first
JudgeTotal
Eric Colón2.0 avg spread · 43% wide28–29
Chris Lee2.0 avg spread · 44% wide28–29
Dave Tirelli2.2 avg spread · 56% wide28–29

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 23 scored, Kevin Holland first · unofficial

Scott Fontana New York Post27–30
Jake Noecker Cageside Press27–30
Patrick McCorry Cageside Press27–30
Combat Press.com27–30
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com27–30
Matthew Wells MMAJunkie.com27–30
John Pollock POST Wrestling27–30
Drake Riggs MMAMania.com27–30
MM AJunkie.com27–30
Devin Tejada Sherdog.com27–30
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com27–30
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com27–30
Sheehan SevereMMA.com27–30
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com27–30
Dayne Fox The MMA Draw28–29
Steve Duncan mma.uno28–29
Michael DeSantis MMASucka.com28–29
Nick Baldwin theScore28–29
Daniel Yanofsky The Sporting News28–29
Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Damien Bartonek Fox West Texas28–29
MM AMania.com28–29
Chris De Santiago Sports Illustrated28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Page · 53%29-28 Page · 36%30-26 Page · 4%30-28 Page · 2%29-28 Holland · 2%

206 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Kevin Holland

0.79takedowns / 15 min
0.79 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.19 / 15m
2.19 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
1.19 / 15m
36%
ACCURACY
16%
0.60 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Michael Page

0.19takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Kevin Holland→ no move
open 54.3%close 54.5%
Michael Page→ no move
open 45.7%close 45.5%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

The line barely moved. Kevin Holland opened at 54.3% and closed at 54.5% once the vig is taken out — a 0.2pp shift across the whole build-up. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Kevin Holland-138-13354.3%54.5%+0.2pp
Michael Page10511045.7%45.5%−0.2pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2024-03-10 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
← Every fighter on the record