Round 1
20 of 69
Sig.
strikes
strikes
32 of 67
0 of 0
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 1
0:00
Control
0:04
0
Knock-
downs
downs
0
Distance 19Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 28Clinch 4Ground 0
From the tape · 2 Mar 2024
Matt Schnell vs Steve Erceg
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result
Steve Erceg beat Matt Schnell
FlyweightMain cardReferee · Chris Tognoni
We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.
VSOn the tape
The story going in
- Has finished 3 of 6 UFC wins.
- Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
- 12 UFC bouts deep — 10 more than Erceg.
- Carries 24 points more takedown defence than Schnell.
17-11
Record
14-5
34
Age
−6 yr28
5' 8"
Height
5' 8"
+2″70″
Reach
68″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+1012
UFC bouts
2
3/650% of wins
Finishes
0/20% of wins
Fortis MMA
Gym
Wilkes Martial Arts
Shreveport, Louisiana
From
Myaree, Western Australia
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
UFCStats · per round
2 rounds of tape
Round 2⚡ 1 KD ErcegEnded 0:26
2 of 9
Sig.
strikes
strikes
2 of 5
0 of 0
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:01
0
Knock-
downs
downs
1
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 0
Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.
How it ended
This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.
Won inside the distance
Steve Erceg
Round
2
Clock
0:26
Method
KO/TKO
This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Chris Tognoni.
Takedowns
Takedowns
The level change — head to head
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Matt Schnell
0.60 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.13 / 15m
1.33 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
4.04 / 15m
45%
ACCURACY
28%
1.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.40 / 15m
43%
TD DEFENCE
67%
Steve Erceg
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.00 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Ranked in Flyweight
The market story
Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.
Matt Schnell↓ −8.7pp
open 29.5%close 20.8%
Steve Erceg↑ +8.7pp
open 70.5%close 79.2%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)
Matt Schnell opened at 29.5% and closed at 20.8% (−8.7pp), with Steve Erceg moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.
Show the numbers
| Corner | Open (US) | Close (US) | Open % | Close % | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Schnell | 225 | 362 | 29.5% | 20.8% | −8.7pp |
| Steve Erceg | -278 | -474 | 70.5% | 79.2% | +8.7pp |
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-07-18. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.