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Events · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · Manuel Torres vs Chris Duncan
From the tape · 24 Feb 2024

Manuel Torres vs Chris Duncan

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico
Result

Manuel Torres beat Chris Duncan

Method
Submission
Round
1 of 3
Clock
1:46
LightweightMain cardReferee · Mike Beltran

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner ManuelTorres“El Loco”Entram Gym · Chihuahua, Chihuahua
VSOn the tape
Blue corner ChrisDuncan“The Problem”American Top Team · Alloa, East Ayrshire
Lightweight3 rounds24 Feb 2024
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Carries 35 points more takedown defence than Duncan.
  • Averages 1.2 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Torres.
17-4
Record
15-3
−2 yr28
Age
30
5' 10"
Height
5' 10"
+2″73″
Reach
71″
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
2
UFC bouts
2
2/2100% of wins
Finishes
0/20% of wins
Entram Gym
Gym
American Top Team
Chihuahua, Chihuahua
From
Alloa, East Ayrshire
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 11:46 of action1 sub attemptEnded 1:46
Manuel Torres3 sig landed
HEAD67%2 of 4BODY33%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
Chris Duncan1 sig landed
HEAD100%1 of 2BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
3 of 5
Sig.
strikes
1 of 2
2 of 2
Take-
downs
1 of 3
0:42
Control
0:40
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 0Clinch 2Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Manuel Torres

Round
1
Clock
1:46
Method
Submission

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Mike Beltran.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Manuel Torres

1.72takedowns / 15 min
1.72 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
2.92 / 15m
2.61 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
7.30 / 15m
66%
ACCURACY
40%
0.90 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.60 / 15m

Chris Duncan

2.92takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Manuel Torres↓ −2.1pp
open 63.1%close 61.0%
Chris Duncan↑ +2.1pp
open 36.9%close 39.0%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Manuel Torres opened at 63.1% and closed at 61.0% (−2.1pp), with Chris Duncan moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Manuel Torres-192-17963.1%61.0%−2.1pp
Chris Duncan16014436.9%39.0%+2.1pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2024-02-25 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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