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Events · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · Brandon Moreno vs Brandon Royval
From the tape · 24 Feb 2024

Brandon Moreno vs Brandon Royval

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico
Result

Brandon Royval beat Brandon Moreno

Method
Decision - Split
Round
5 of 5
Clock
5:00
FlyweightMainReferee · Herb Dean

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner BrandonMoreno“The Assassin Baby”Fortis MMA · Tijuana, Baja California
VSOn the tape
Blue corner BrandonRoyval“Raw Dawg”Factory X · Englewood, Colorado
Flyweight5 rounds24 Feb 2024
The story going in
  • Has finished 6 of 9 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 4 of 5 UFC wins.
  • 15 UFC bouts deep — 7 more than Royval.
  • Lands 1.7 more significant strikes a minute than Moreno.
23-10-2
Record
18-9
−1 yr30
Age
31
5' 7"
Height
+2″5' 9"
+2″70″
Reach
68″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
+715
UFC bouts
8
6/967% of wins
Finishes
+13%4/580% of wins
Fortis MMA
Gym
Factory X
Tijuana, Baja California
From
Englewood, Colorado
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

5 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Brandon Moreno15 sig landed
HEAD40%6 of 12BODY33%5 of 5LEGS27%4 of 6
Brandon Royval12 sig landed
HEAD50%6 of 31BODY42%5 of 8LEGS8%1 of 4
15 of 23
Sig.
strikes
12 of 43
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 14Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 11Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Moreno firstMichael Bell10–9Junichiro Kamijo10–9Chris Lee9–10
Round 25:00 of action
Brandon Moreno22 sig landed
HEAD59%13 of 34BODY23%5 of 5LEGS18%4 of 6
Brandon Royval18 sig landed
HEAD39%7 of 66BODY44%8 of 16LEGS17%3 of 5
22 of 45
Sig.
strikes
18 of 87
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:37
Control
0:00
Distance 20Clinch 1Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 18Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Moreno firstMichael Bell9–10Junichiro Kamijo10–9Chris Lee9–10
Round 35:00 of action
Brandon Moreno17 sig landed
HEAD41%7 of 20BODY24%4 of 5LEGS35%6 of 6
Brandon Royval25 sig landed
HEAD52%13 of 61BODY32%8 of 12LEGS16%4 of 6
17 of 31
Sig.
strikes
25 of 79
2 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:27
Control
0:00
Distance 15Clinch 1Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 24Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Moreno firstMichael Bell9–10Junichiro Kamijo10–9Chris Lee10–9
Round 45:00 of action
Brandon Moreno29 sig landed
HEAD24%7 of 27BODY45%13 of 20LEGS31%9 of 11
Brandon Royval49 sig landed
HEAD76%37 of 147BODY22%11 of 11LEGS2%1 of 3
29 of 58
Sig.
strikes
49 of 161
0 of 1
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:00
Control
0:33
Distance 28Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 48Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Moreno firstMichael Bell9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10Chris Lee9–10
Round 55:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Brandon Moreno29 sig landed
HEAD52%15 of 34BODY34%10 of 16LEGS14%4 of 4
Brandon Royval41 sig landed
HEAD83%34 of 132BODY15%6 of 7LEGS2%1 of 1
29 of 54
Sig.
strikes
41 of 140
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:50
Control
0:02
Distance 26Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 41Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Moreno firstMichael Bell10–9Junichiro Kamijo10–9Chris Lee10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Split Decision

Referee · Herb Dean
Brandon MorenoBrandon Royval
Official totals — Brandon Moreno first
JudgeTotal
Michael Bell47–48
Junichiro Kamijo2.0 avg spread · 43% wide49–46
Chris Lee2.0 avg spread · 44% wide47–48

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 18 scored, Brandon Moreno first · unofficial

Daniel Yanofsky The Sporting News47–48
Shaun Al- Shatti MMAFighting.com47–48
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com47–48
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com47–48
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com47–48
Alex Behunin MMA Mania47–48
Patrick McCorry Cageside Press47–48
Steve Duncan mma.uno47–48
Sheehan SevereMMA.com47–48
Chris De Santiago Sports Illustrated47–48
Nick Baldwin theScore47–48
Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com47–48
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com47–48
Scott Fontana New York Post48–47
MM AMania.com48–47
MM AJunkie.com48–47
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com48–47
Bloody Elbow.com49–46

Fan vote · unofficial

48-47 Royval · 49%48-47 Moreno · 33%49-46 Royval · 11%49-46 Moreno · 5%

526 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Brandon Moreno

1.36takedowns / 15 min
1.36 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.65 / 15m
3.49 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
0.87 / 15m
39%
ACCURACY
75%
0.40 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.10 / 15m

Brandon Royval

0.65takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.00 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Flyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Brandon Moreno↑ +3.5pp
open 68.5%close 72.0%
Brandon Royval↓ −3.5pp
open 31.5%close 28.0%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Brandon Moreno opened at 68.5% and closed at 72.0% (+3.5pp), with Brandon Royval moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Brandon Moreno-250-30668.5%72.0%+3.5pp
Brandon Royval20524131.5%28.0%−3.5pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2024-02-25 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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