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Events · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · Nikolas Motta vs Tom Nolan
From the tape · 13 Jan 2024

Nikolas Motta vs Tom Nolan

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Nikolas Motta beat Tom Nolan

Method
KO/TKO
Round
1 of 3
Clock
1:03
LightweightMain cardReferee · Dan Miragliotta

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

NM
Red corner NikolasMotta“Iron”Governador Valadares, Minas Gerais
VSOn the tape
Blue corner TomNolan“Big Train”Team Compton Training Centre · Brisbane, Queensland
Lightweight3 rounds13 Jan 2024
The story going in
  • Carries 12 points more takedown defence than Nolan.
  • Lands 1.7 more significant strikes a minute than Motta.
15-6
Record
11-1
30
Age
−7 yr23
5' 9"
Height
+6″6' 3"
70″
Reach
+3″73″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Governador Valadares, Minas Gerais
From
Brisbane, Queensland
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 11:03 of action⚡ 1 KD MottaEnded 1:03
Nikolas Motta21 sig landed
HEAD90%19 of 35BODY10%2 of 5LEGS0%0 landed
Tom Nolan12 sig landed
HEAD42%5 of 13BODY42%5 of 5LEGS17%2 of 2
21 of 40
Sig.
strikes
12 of 20
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:09
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 8Clinch 0Ground 13
Where it
happened
Distance 11Clinch 1Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Nikolas Motta

Round
1
Clock
1:03
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Dan Miragliotta.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Nikolas Motta

0.00takedowns / 15 min
0.00 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.74 / 15m
n/a
ATTEMPTS
3.36 / 15m
n/a
ACCURACY
22%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.90 / 15m

Tom Nolan

0.74takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Nikolas Motta↓ −19.2pp
open 43.7%close 24.4%
Tom Nolan↑ +19.2pp
open 56.3%close 75.6%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Nikolas Motta opened at 43.7% and closed at 24.4% (−19.2pp), with Tom Nolan moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Nikolas Motta12028943.7%24.4%−19.2pp
Tom Nolan-142-39156.3%75.6%+19.2pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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