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Events · UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · Cody Garbrandt vs Brian Kelleher
From the tape · 16 Dec 2023

Cody Garbrandt vs Brian Kelleher

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Cody Garbrandt beat Brian Kelleher

Method
KO/TKO
Round
1 of 3
Clock
3:42
BantamweightMain cardReferee · Marc Goddard

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner CodyGarbrandt“No Love”Team Alpha Male · Uhrichsville, Ohio
VSOn the tape
BK
Blue corner BrianKelleher“Boom”Maxum BJJ · Selden, New York
Bantamweight3 rounds16 Dec 2023
The story going in
  • Has finished 5 of 8 UFC wins.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Carries 21 points more takedown defence than Kelleher.
  • Has finished 5 of 8 UFC wins.
15-8
Record
24-16
−5 yr32
Age
37
+2″5' 8"
Height
5' 6"
65″
Reach
+1″66″
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
13
UFC bouts
+215
5/862% of wins
Finishes
5/862% of wins
Team Alpha Male
Gym
Maxum BJJ
Uhrichsville, Ohio
From
Selden, New York
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 13:42 of action⚡ 1 KD GarbrandtEnded 3:42
Cody Garbrandt20 sig landed
HEAD80%16 of 37BODY10%2 of 2LEGS10%2 of 2
Brian Kelleher17 sig landed
HEAD53%9 of 13BODY6%1 of 3LEGS41%7 of 9
20 of 41
Sig.
strikes
17 of 25
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:21
Control
0:36
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 16Clinch 4Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 17Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Cody Garbrandt

Round
1
Clock
3:42
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Marc Goddard.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Cody Garbrandt

0.85takedowns / 15 min
0.85 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.68 / 15m
3.86 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
4.10 / 15m
22%
ACCURACY
41%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.70 / 15m

Brian Kelleher

1.68takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.45 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Bantamweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Cody Garbrandt↑ +5.2pp
open 57.2%close 62.4%
Brian Kelleher↓ −5.2pp
open 42.8%close 37.6%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Cody Garbrandt opened at 57.2% and closed at 62.4% (+5.2pp), with Brian Kelleher moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Cody Garbrandt-148-18757.2%62.4%+5.2pp
Brian Kelleher12415542.8%37.6%−5.2pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2023-12-17 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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