Round 1⚡ 1 KD AspinallEnded 1:09
1 of 7
Sig.
strikes
strikes
10 of 14
0 of 0
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:02
0
Knock-
downs
downs
1
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 3
From the tape · 11 Nov 2023
Sergei Pavlovich vs Tom Aspinall
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · New York City, New York, USA
Result
Tom Aspinall beat Sergei Pavlovich
Interim Heavyweight TitleTitle fightCo-MainReferee · Dan Miragliotta
We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.
VSOn the tape
The story going in
- Comes in on a 6-fight win streak.
- Every one of Aspinall’s 6 UFC wins came inside the distance.
- Every one of Pavlovich’s 6 UFC wins came inside the distance.
- Lands 3.2 more significant strikes a minute than Pavlovich.
21-3
Record
15-3
31
Age
−1 yr30
6' 3"
Height
+2″6' 5"
+6″84″
Reach
78″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
7
UFC bouts
7
6/6100% of wins
Finishes
6/6100% of wins
Eagles MMA
Gym
Aspinall BJJ
Rostov-on-Don, Rostov Oblast
From
Salford, Lancashire
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
UFCStats · per round
1 round of tape
Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.
How it ended
This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.
Won inside the distance
Tom Aspinall
Round
1
Clock
1:09
Method
KO/TKO
This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Dan Miragliotta.
Takedowns
Takedowns
The level change — head to head
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Sergei Pavlovich
0.48 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
2.62 / 15m
1.92 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
3.27 / 15m
25%
ACCURACY
80%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.30 / 15m
75%
TD DEFENCE
100%
Tom Aspinall
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.77 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Ranked in Heavyweight
The market story
Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.
Sergei Pavlovich↑ +6.9pp
open 41.7%close 48.6%
Tom Aspinall↓ −6.9pp
open 58.3%close 51.4%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)
Sergei Pavlovich opened at 41.7% and closed at 48.6% (+6.9pp), with Tom Aspinall moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.
Show the numbers
| Corner | Open (US) | Close (US) | Open % | Close % | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Pavlovich | 126 | -104 | 41.7% | 48.6% | +6.9pp |
| Tom Aspinall | -162 | -117 | 58.3% | 51.4% | −6.9pp |
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2023-11-12 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.