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Events · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Max Griffin vs Michael Morales
From the tape · 1 Jul 2023

Max Griffin vs Michael Morales

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Michael Morales beat Max Griffin

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
WelterweightMain cardReferee · Kerry Hatley

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner MaxGriffin“Pain”MMA Gold Fight Team · Sacramento, California
VSOn the tape
Blue corner MichaelMoralesEntram Gym · Machala, El Oro
Welterweight3 rounds1 Jul 2023
The story going in
  • Has finished 3 of 7 UFC wins.
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • 14 UFC bouts deep — 12 more than Morales.
  • Lands 2.0 more significant strikes a minute than Griffin.
20-13
Record
19-0
37
Age
−13 yr24
5' 11"
Height
+1″6' 0"
76″
Reach
+3″79″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+1214
UFC bouts
2
3/743% of wins
Finishes
2/2100% of wins
MMA Gold Fight Team
Gym
Entram Gym
Sacramento, California
From
Machala, El Oro
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Max Griffin11 sig landed
HEAD73%8 of 22BODY9%1 of 1LEGS18%2 of 3
Michael Morales15 sig landed
HEAD60%9 of 31BODY20%3 of 4LEGS20%3 of 5
11 of 26
Sig.
strikes
15 of 40
0 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:14
Control
0:05
Distance 11Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 13Clinch 2Ground 0
Judges · this round · Griffin firstEric Colón10–9Junichiro Kamijo10–9Ron McCarthy10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Max Griffin15 sig landed
HEAD67%10 of 33BODY20%3 of 3LEGS13%2 of 2
Michael Morales31 sig landed
HEAD97%30 of 67BODY3%1 of 2LEGS0%0 of 1
15 of 38
Sig.
strikes
31 of 70
0 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:05
Control
0:02
Distance 14Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 29Clinch 2Ground 0
Judges · this round · Griffin firstEric Colón9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10Ron McCarthy9–10
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Max Griffin10 sig landed
HEAD100%10 of 38BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Michael Morales26 sig landed
HEAD77%20 of 47BODY4%1 of 2LEGS19%5 of 5
10 of 38
Sig.
strikes
26 of 54
0 of 4
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:51
Control
0:20
Distance 10Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 26Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Griffin firstEric Colón9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10Ron McCarthy9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Kerry Hatley
Max GriffinMichael Morales
Official totals — Max Griffin first
JudgeTotal
Eric Colón2.0 avg spread · 43% wide28–29
Junichiro Kamijo2.0 avg spread · 43% wide28–29
Ron McCarthy2.0 avg spread · 41% wide28–29

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 11 scored, Max Griffin first · unofficial

Jay Pettry Sherdog.com28–29
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com28–29
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com28–29
MM AJunkie.com28–29
MM AMania.com28–29
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com28–29
Combat Press.com28–29
Matthew Wells MMAJunkie.com28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Steve Duncan mma.uno28–29
Chris De Santiago MiddleEasy.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Morales · 75%30-27 Morales · 19%30-22 Griffin · 3%29-28 Griffin · 3%

32 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Max Griffin

1.44takedowns / 15 min
1.44 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.04 / 15m
3.51 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.54 / 15m
41%
ACCURACY
41%
0.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Michael Morales

1.04takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (4.97 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Welterweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Max Griffin↓ −4.6pp
open 35.5%close 30.9%
Michael Morales↑ +4.6pp
open 64.5%close 69.1%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Max Griffin opened at 35.5% and closed at 30.9% (−4.6pp), with Michael Morales moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Max Griffin16321035.5%30.9%−4.6pp
Michael Morales-225-26064.5%69.1%+4.6pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2023-07-02 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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