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Events · UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · Iasmin Lucindo vs Brogan Walker
From the tape · 22 Apr 2023

Iasmin Lucindo vs Brogan Walker

UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Iasmin Lucindo beat Brogan Walker

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Women's FlyweightMain cardReferee · Chris Tognoni

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner IasminLucindoFight House · Fortaleza, Ceara
VSOn the tape
BW
Blue corner BroganWalker“The Bear”Hagatna
Women's Flyweight3 rounds22 Apr 2023
18-6
Record
8-5
−13 yr21
Age
34
5' 3"
Height
+1″5' 4"
66″
Reach
+1″67″
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
1
UFC bouts
1
Fortaleza, Ceara
From
Hagatna
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Iasmin Lucindo17 sig landed
HEAD76%13 of 37BODY24%4 of 5LEGS0%0 of 1
Brogan Walker8 sig landed
HEAD12%1 of 33BODY38%3 of 6LEGS50%4 of 11
17 of 43
Sig.
strikes
8 of 50
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 16Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Lucindo firstAdalaide Byrd10–9Chris Lee10–9Ron McCarthy10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Iasmin Lucindo11 sig landed
HEAD64%7 of 24BODY27%3 of 4LEGS9%1 of 1
Brogan Walker12 sig landed
HEAD17%2 of 27BODY50%6 of 7LEGS33%4 of 8
11 of 29
Sig.
strikes
12 of 42
2 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:44
Control
1:01
Distance 10Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 8Clinch 4Ground 0
Judges · this round · Lucindo firstAdalaide Byrd10–9Chris Lee10–9Ron McCarthy10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Iasmin Lucindo25 sig landed
HEAD52%13 of 32BODY48%12 of 14LEGS0%0 landed
Brogan Walker9 sig landed
HEAD33%3 of 39BODY44%4 of 9LEGS22%2 of 5
25 of 46
Sig.
strikes
9 of 53
2 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:02
Control
0:03
Distance 25Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 2Ground 0
Judges · this round · Lucindo firstAdalaide Byrd10–9Chris Lee10–9Ron McCarthy10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Chris Tognoni
Iasmin LucindoBrogan Walker
Official totals — Iasmin Lucindo first
JudgeTotal
Adalaide Byrd2.0 avg spread · 45% wide30–27
Chris Lee2.0 avg spread · 44% wide30–27
Ron McCarthy2.0 avg spread · 41% wide30–27

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 17 scored, Iasmin Lucindo first · unofficial

Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com30–27
MM AMania.com30–27
MM AJunkie.com30–27
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com30–27
Ben Duffy Sherdog.com30–27
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com30–27
Drake Riggs MMAMania.com30–27
Jake Noecker The Scrap News30–27
Dan Urban Couchside Judges30–27
Steve Duncan mma.uno30–27
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com30–27
Bloody Elbow.com30–27
Matthew Wells MMAJunkie.com30–27
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com30–27
Chris De Santiago MiddleEasy.com30–27
Combat Press.com30–27
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com30–27

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Lucindo · 89%30-26 Lucindo · 11%

18 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Iasmin Lucindo

2.28takedowns / 15 min
2.28 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.02 / 15m
4.15 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
1.36 / 15m
55%
ACCURACY
75%
0.10 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Brogan Walker

1.02takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Iasmin Lucindo↑ +3.7pp
open 72.4%close 76.1%
Brogan Walker↓ −3.7pp
open 27.6%close 23.9%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Iasmin Lucindo opened at 72.4% and closed at 76.1% (+3.7pp), with Brogan Walker moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Iasmin Lucindo-300-39072.4%76.1%+3.7pp
Brogan Walker25030127.6%23.9%−3.7pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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