This Saturday Hooker vs Parnasse · Accor Arena Paris France See this week's picks →
Events · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Juliana Miller vs Veronica Hardy
From the tape · 18 Mar 2023

Juliana Miller vs Veronica Hardy

UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · London, England, United Kingdom
Result

Veronica Hardy beat Juliana Miller

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Women's FlyweightMain cardReferee · Lukasz Bosacki

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner JulianaMiller“Killer”10th Planet San Diego · San Diego, California
VSOn the tape
Blue corner VeronicaHardyRenzo Gracie Academy · Caracas, Capital District
Women's Flyweight3 rounds18 Mar 2023
The story going in
  • Averages 1.3 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Hardy.
  • 5 UFC bouts deep — 4 more than Miller.
6-4
Record
10-5-1
−1 yr26
Age
27
+3″5' 7"
Height
5' 4"
+2″66″
Reach
64″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
1
UFC bouts
+45
1/1100% of wins
Finishes
1/1100% of wins
10th Planet San Diego
Gym
Renzo Gracie Academy
San Diego, California
From
Caracas, Capital District
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Juliana Miller19 sig landed
HEAD63%12 of 35BODY37%7 of 9LEGS0%0 of 1
Veronica Hardy26 sig landed
HEAD73%19 of 27BODY4%1 of 2LEGS23%6 of 6
19 of 45
Sig.
strikes
26 of 35
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:46
Control
0:42
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 14Clinch 5Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 18Clinch 5Ground 3
Judges · this round · Miller firstChris Lee9–10Vito Paolillo9–10Paul Sutherland9–10
Round 25:00 of action2 sub attempts
Juliana Miller8 sig landed
HEAD88%7 of 18BODY0%0 of 1LEGS12%1 of 1
Veronica Hardy16 sig landed
HEAD88%14 of 17BODY12%2 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
8 of 20
Sig.
strikes
16 of 19
0 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:19
Control
3:45
2
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 9
Judges · this round · Miller firstChris Lee9–10Vito Paolillo9–10Paul Sutherland9–10
Round 35:00 of action1 sub attemptEnded 5:00
Juliana Miller3 sig landed
HEAD33%1 of 10BODY67%2 of 4LEGS0%0 landed
Veronica Hardy20 sig landed
HEAD30%6 of 8BODY45%9 of 10LEGS25%5 of 5
3 of 14
Sig.
strikes
20 of 23
0 of 0
Take-
downs
4 of 4
0:14
Control
3:09
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 1Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 13
Judges · this round · Miller firstChris Lee9–10Vito Paolillo9–10Paul Sutherland9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Lukasz Bosacki
Juliana MillerVeronica Hardy
Official totals — Juliana Miller first
JudgeTotal
Chris Lee2.0 avg spread · 44% wide27–30
Vito Paolillo2.1 avg spread · 48% wide27–30
Paul Sutherland2.2 avg spread · 52% wide27–30

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 19 scored, Juliana Miller first · unofficial

Jillian DeCoursey27–30
Jake Noecker BetQL27–30
MM AMania.com27–30
MM AJunkie.com27–30
Shane Clifford Sherdog.com27–30
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com27–30
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com27–30
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com27–30
Sheehan SevereMMA.com27–30
Scott Fontana New York Post27–30
Steve Duncan mma.uno27–30
Dan Urban Couchside Judges27–30
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com27–30
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com27–30
Chris De Santiago MiddleEasy.com27–30
Alex Behunin MMA Mania27–30
John Pollock POST Wrestling27–30
Michael DeSantis MMASucka.com27–30
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com27–30

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Hardy · 95%30-26 Hardy · 2%29-28 Miller · 2%

43 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Juliana Miller

2.16takedowns / 15 min
2.16 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.82 / 15m
7.45 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.00 / 15m
29%
ACCURACY
41%
1.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.30 / 15m

Veronica Hardy

0.82takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (3.58 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Flyweight

The market story

What the market did on the way to the cage — the price, not our model. This bout is settled; the window below is closed.

We hold no market price for this bout — no captured price series, and no opening or closing line in the sportsbook record we fall back on. So there is nothing to show, and we would rather show nothing than draw a line that was never there.

Juliana Miller vs Veronica Hardy.

← Every fighter on the record