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Events · UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Tyson Pedro vs Modestas Bukauskas
From the tape · 11 Feb 2023

Tyson Pedro vs Modestas Bukauskas

UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Result

Modestas Bukauskas beat Tyson Pedro

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Light HeavyweightMain cardReferee · Steve Perceval

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner TysonPedroLions High Performance Centre · Sydney, New South Wales
VSOn the tape
Blue corner ModestasBukauskas“The Baltic Gladiator”Klaipeda
Light Heavyweight3 rounds11 Feb 2023
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Has dropped 3 straight in the UFC.
  • Every one of Pedro’s 5 UFC wins came inside the distance.
  • Carries 32 points more takedown defence than Pedro.
10-5
Record
20-7
31
Age
−2 yr29
6' 3"
Height
6' 3"
+3″79″
Reach
76″
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
+48
UFC bouts
4
5/5100% of wins
Finishes
1/1100% of wins
Sydney, New South Wales
From
Klaipeda
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Tyson Pedro8 sig landed
HEAD62%5 of 12BODY25%2 of 6LEGS12%1 of 1
Modestas Bukauskas10 sig landed
HEAD60%6 of 19BODY20%2 of 3LEGS20%2 of 3
8 of 19
Sig.
strikes
10 of 25
2 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:46
Control
0:00
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 10Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Pedro firstEvan Field9–10Barry Foley10–9Mick Meany10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Tyson Pedro18 sig landed
HEAD28%5 of 9BODY44%8 of 9LEGS28%5 of 7
Modestas Bukauskas11 sig landed
HEAD27%3 of 27BODY45%5 of 5LEGS27%3 of 3
18 of 25
Sig.
strikes
11 of 35
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:27
Control
0:14
Distance 18Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 10Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Pedro firstEvan Field9–10Barry Foley9–10Mick Meany9–10
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Tyson Pedro19 sig landed
HEAD42%8 of 24BODY53%10 of 12LEGS5%1 of 1
Modestas Bukauskas23 sig landed
HEAD70%16 of 42BODY22%5 of 5LEGS9%2 of 2
19 of 37
Sig.
strikes
23 of 49
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:48
Control
0:43
Distance 14Clinch 5Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 14Clinch 9Ground 0
Judges · this round · Pedro firstEvan Field9–10Barry Foley9–10Mick Meany9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Steve Perceval
Tyson PedroModestas Bukauskas
Official totals — Tyson Pedro first
JudgeTotal
Evan Field2.2 avg spread · 48% wide27–30
Barry Foley1.6 avg spread · 25% wide28–29
Mick Meany28–29

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 18 scored, Tyson Pedro first · unofficial

MM AMania.com27–30
Eric Kowal MyMMANews.com27–30
John Pollock POST Wrestling27–30
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com27–30
Bloody Elbow.com27–30
Jillian DeCoursey27–30
Sheehan SevereMMA.com27–30
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Jack Dankoff Sherdog.com28–29
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com28–29
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com28–29
Ben Davis28–29
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com28–29
Matthew Wells MMAJunkie.com28–29
Dan Levi Best Fight Picks28–29
Alex Behunin Cageside Press28–29
Jake Noecker BetQL29–28
MM AJunkie.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Bukauskas · 43%30-27 Bukauskas · 38%29-28 Pedro · 12%

68 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Tyson Pedro

0.76takedowns / 15 min
0.76 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.23 / 15m
2.53 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
0.35 / 15m
30%
ACCURACY
66%
0.80 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.10 / 15m

Modestas Bukauskas

0.23takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.96 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Light Heavyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Tyson Pedro↓ −21.4pp
open 87.9%close 66.6%
Modestas Bukauskas↑ +21.4pp
open 12.1%close 33.4%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Tyson Pedro opened at 87.9% and closed at 66.6% (−21.4pp), with Modestas Bukauskas moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Tyson Pedro-1000-22687.9%66.6%−21.4pp
Modestas Bukauskas70018712.1%33.4%+21.4pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2023-02-12 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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