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Events · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · Julio Arce vs Montel Jackson
From the tape · 12 Nov 2022

Julio Arce vs Montel Jackson

UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · New York City, New York, USA
Result

Montel Jackson beat Julio Arce

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
BantamweightMain cardReferee · Marc Goddard

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner JulioArceTeam Tiger Schulmann · Queens, New York
VSOn the tape
Blue corner MontelJackson“Quik”Red Schafer MMA · Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Bantamweight3 rounds12 Nov 2022
The story going in
  • Has finished 3 of 5 UFC wins.
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Carries 29 points more takedown defence than Jackson.
  • Has finished 2 of 5 UFC wins.
19-6
Record
15-4
33
Age
−3 yr30
5' 7"
Height
+3″5' 10"
70″
Reach
+5″75″
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
+18
UFC bouts
7
+20%3/560% of wins
Finishes
2/540% of wins
Team Tiger Schulmann
Gym
Red Schafer MMA
Queens, New York
From
Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Julio Arce4 sig landed
HEAD50%2 of 16BODY25%1 of 3LEGS25%1 of 3
Montel Jackson5 sig landed
HEAD60%3 of 15BODY20%1 of 1LEGS20%1 of 1
4 of 22
Sig.
strikes
5 of 17
1 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:06
Control
2:09
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Arce firstDouglas Crosby10–9Sal D'Amato9–10Bryan Miner9–10
Round 25:00 of action
Julio Arce15 sig landed
HEAD47%7 of 47BODY33%5 of 8LEGS20%3 of 3
Montel Jackson19 sig landed
HEAD68%13 of 39BODY16%3 of 4LEGS16%3 of 3
15 of 58
Sig.
strikes
19 of 46
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 2
0:00
Control
1:12
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 15Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 18Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Arce firstDouglas Crosby9–10Sal D'Amato9–10Bryan Miner9–10
Round 35:00 of action⚡ 1 KD JacksonEnded 5:00
Julio Arce7 sig landed
HEAD57%4 of 39BODY29%2 of 6LEGS14%1 of 1
Montel Jackson24 sig landed
HEAD96%23 of 41BODY4%1 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
7 of 46
Sig.
strikes
24 of 43
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
2:34
0
Knock-
downs
1
Distance 6Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 11Clinch 2Ground 11
Judges · this round · Arce firstDouglas Crosby9–10Sal D'Amato9–10Bryan Miner9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Marc Goddard
Julio ArceMontel Jackson
Official totals — Julio Arce first
JudgeTotal
Douglas Crosby28–29
Sal D'Amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide27–30
Bryan Miner2.0 avg spread · 42% wide27–30

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 14 scored, Julio Arce first · unofficial

Eric Kowal MyMMANews.com27–30
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com27–30
Bloody Elbow.com27–30
Steve Duncan mma.uno28–29
Matthew Wells MMAJunkie.com28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com28–29
Alex Behunin Cageside Press28–29
Drake Riggs MMAMania.com28–29
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com28–29
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com28–29
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com28–29
MM AMania.com28–29
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Jackson · 50%30-27 Jackson · 30%29-28 Arce · 10%30-28 Jackson · 3%30-26 Jackson · 3%

30 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Julio Arce

0.46takedowns / 15 min
0.46 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
2.71 / 15m
1.64 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
4.30 / 15m
28%
ACCURACY
63%
0.30 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.30 / 15m

Montel Jackson

2.71takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.45 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Bantamweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Julio Arce↓ −6.1pp
open 42.0%close 35.9%
Montel Jackson↑ +6.1pp
open 58.0%close 64.1%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Julio Arce opened at 42.0% and closed at 35.9% (−6.1pp), with Montel Jackson moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Julio Arce13016842.0%35.9%−6.1pp
Montel Jackson-150-19958.0%64.1%+6.1pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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