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Events · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Volkan Oezdemir vs Nikita Krylov
From the tape · 22 Oct 2022

Volkan Oezdemir vs Nikita Krylov

UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Result

Nikita Krylov beat Volkan Oezdemir

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Light HeavyweightMain cardReferee · Marc Goddard

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner VolkanOezdemir“No Time”Fight Move Academy · Fribourg
VSOn the tape
Blue corner NikitaKrylov“The Miner”Raty Team · Donetsk
Light Heavyweight3 rounds22 Oct 2022
The story going in
  • Has finished 3 of 6 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 8 of 9 UFC wins.
  • Carries 27 points more takedown defence than Krylov.
  • 16 UFC bouts deep — 5 more than Oezdemir.
21-8
Record
31-12
33
Age
−3 yr30
6' 2"
Height
+1″6' 3"
75″
Reach
+2″77″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
11
UFC bouts
+516
3/650% of wins
Finishes
+39%8/989% of wins
Fight Move Academy
Gym
Raty Team
Fribourg
From
Donetsk
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action1 sub attempt
Volkan Oezdemir27 sig landed
HEAD89%24 of 47BODY0%0 landedLEGS11%3 of 3
Nikita Krylov26 sig landed
HEAD65%17 of 46BODY27%7 of 10LEGS8%2 of 2
27 of 50
Sig.
strikes
26 of 58
1 of 1
Take-
downs
2 of 7
0:46
Control
2:02
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 20Clinch 4Ground 3
Where it
happened
Distance 17Clinch 8Ground 1
Judges · this round · Oezdemir firstDavid Lethaby9–10Anders Ohlsson10–9Vito Paolillo10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Volkan Oezdemir11 sig landed
HEAD73%8 of 14BODY18%2 of 2LEGS9%1 of 2
Nikita Krylov11 sig landed
HEAD91%10 of 24BODY0%0 of 2LEGS9%1 of 1
11 of 18
Sig.
strikes
11 of 27
0 of 0
Take-
downs
3 of 8
0:01
Control
3:28
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 10Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 9Clinch 0Ground 2
Judges · this round · Oezdemir firstDavid Lethaby9–10Anders Ohlsson9–10Vito Paolillo9–10
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Volkan Oezdemir4 sig landed
HEAD75%3 of 11BODY25%1 of 1LEGS0%0 of 1
Nikita Krylov20 sig landed
HEAD75%15 of 30BODY25%5 of 6LEGS0%0 landed
4 of 13
Sig.
strikes
20 of 36
0 of 0
Take-
downs
2 of 5
0:00
Control
3:47
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 12Clinch 4Ground 4
Judges · this round · Oezdemir firstDavid Lethaby9–10Anders Ohlsson9–10Vito Paolillo9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Marc Goddard
Volkan OezdemirNikita Krylov
Official totals — Volkan Oezdemir first
JudgeTotal
David Lethaby2.1 avg spread · 44% wide27–30
Anders Ohlsson1.9 avg spread · 42% wide28–29
Vito Paolillo2.1 avg spread · 48% wide28–29

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 18 scored, Volkan Oezdemir first · unofficial

Ben Davis27–30
MM AJunkie.com27–30
MM AMania.com27–30
John Brannigan Sherdog.com27–30
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com27–30
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com27–30
Bloody Elbow.com27–30
Shakiel Mahjouri CBS Sports27–30
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com27–29
Jake Noecker BetQL28–29
Matthew Wells MMAJunkie.com28–29
Steve Duncan mma.uno28–29
Alex Behunin Cageside Press28–29
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com28–29
Daniel Yanofsky The Sporting News28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Ben Duffy Sherdog.com28–29
John Pollock POST Wrestling28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Krylov · 56%30-27 Krylov · 32%29-28 Oezdemir · 4%29-27 Krylov · 4%30-26 Krylov · 2%

79 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Volkan Oezdemir

0.50takedowns / 15 min
0.50 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
2.05 / 15m
1.72 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
5.54 / 15m
29%
ACCURACY
37%
0.10 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.20 / 15m

Nikita Krylov

2.05takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.96 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Light Heavyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Volkan Oezdemir↓ −1.2pp
open 39.0%close 37.8%
Nikita Krylov↑ +1.2pp
open 61.0%close 62.2%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Volkan Oezdemir opened at 39.0% and closed at 37.8% (−1.2pp), with Nikita Krylov moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Volkan Oezdemir14015439.0%37.8%−1.2pp
Nikita Krylov-188-18561.0%62.2%+1.2pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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