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Events · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Karol Rosa vs Lina Lansberg
From the tape · 22 Oct 2022

Karol Rosa vs Lina Lansberg

UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Result

Karol Rosa beat Lina Lansberg

Method
Decision - Majority
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Women's BantamweightMain cardReferee · Lukasz Bosacki

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner KarolRosaGAEA Project · Vila Velha, Espirito Santo
VSOn the tape
LL
Blue corner LinaLansberg“Elbow Queen”Redline Training Center · Malmo, Scania
Women's Bantamweight3 rounds22 Oct 2022
The story going in
  • Lands 3.2 more significant strikes a minute than Lansberg.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • 9 UFC bouts deep — 4 more than Rosa.
19-8
Record
10-8
−13 yr27
Age
40
5' 5"
Height
+2″5' 7"
+2″67″
Reach
65″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5
UFC bouts
+49
0/40% of wins
Finishes
0/40% of wins
GAEA Project
Gym
Redline Training Center
Vila Velha, Espirito Santo
From
Malmo, Scania
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action⚡ 1 KD Lansberg
Karol Rosa6 sig landed
HEAD33%2 of 5BODY17%1 of 1LEGS50%3 of 4
Lina Lansberg7 sig landed
HEAD43%3 of 6BODY57%4 of 4LEGS0%0 landed
6 of 10
Sig.
strikes
7 of 10
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:59
Control
0:56
0
Knock-
downs
1
Distance 4Clinch 1Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 3Ground 0
Judges · this round · Rosa firstBen Cartlidge10–9David Lethaby9–10Darryl Ransom10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Karol Rosa15 sig landed
HEAD47%7 of 7BODY7%1 of 1LEGS47%7 of 8
Lina Lansberg4 sig landed
HEAD75%3 of 11BODY0%0 landedLEGS25%1 of 1
15 of 16
Sig.
strikes
4 of 12
2 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
4:29
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 14
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 2
Judges · this round · Rosa firstBen Cartlidge9–9David Lethaby9–9Darryl Ransom9–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Karol Rosa33 sig landed
HEAD67%22 of 34BODY33%11 of 14LEGS0%0 landed
Lina Lansberg25 sig landed
HEAD36%9 of 22BODY64%16 of 16LEGS0%0 landed
33 of 48
Sig.
strikes
25 of 38
0 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:16
Control
1:52
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 19Clinch 14Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 12Clinch 13Ground 0
Judges · this round · Rosa firstBen Cartlidge10–9David Lethaby10–9Darryl Ransom10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Majority Decision

Referee · Lukasz Bosacki
Karol RosaLina Lansberg
Official totals — Karol Rosa first
JudgeTotal
Ben Cartlidge2.1 avg spread · 45% wide29–27
David Lethaby2.1 avg spread · 44% wide28–28
Darryl Ransom2.2 avg spread · 55% wide29–27

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 18 scored, Karol Rosa first · unofficial

John Pollock POST Wrestling29–27
MM AMania.com29–27
John Brannigan Sherdog.com29–27
Ben Duffy Sherdog.com29–27
Bloody Elbow.com29–27
Dominik Durniat ddreporter Tv29–27
MM AJunkie.com29–27
Jake Noecker BetQL29–27
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com29–27
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com29–27
Combat Press.com29–27
Steve Duncan mma.uno29–27
Alex Behunin Cageside Press29–27
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com29–27
Dan Urban Couchside Judges28–28
Hadi Mohamed Ali albiladpress.com28–28
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com28–28
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com28–28

Fan vote · unofficial

29-27 Rosa · 52%29-28 Rosa · 3%28-27 Lansberg · 2%29-28 Lansberg · 2%

60 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Karol Rosa

1.17takedowns / 15 min
1.17 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.52 / 15m
2.44 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
1.93 / 15m
48%
ACCURACY
27%
0.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.10 / 15m

Lina Lansberg

0.52takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.00 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Bantamweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Karol Rosa↑ +4.4pp
open 71.1%close 75.5%
Lina Lansberg↓ −4.4pp
open 28.9%close 24.5%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Karol Rosa opened at 71.1% and closed at 75.5% (+4.4pp), with Lina Lansberg moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Karol Rosa-275-37771.1%75.5%+4.4pp
Lina Lansberg23529028.9%24.5%−4.4pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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