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Events · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Charles Oliveira vs Islam Makhachev
From the tape · 22 Oct 2022

Charles Oliveira vs Islam Makhachev

UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Result

Islam Makhachev beat Charles Oliveira

Method
Submission
Round
2 of 5
Clock
3:16
Lightweight TitleTitle fightMainReferee · Jason Herzog

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner CharlesOliveira“Do Bronxs”Guaruja, Sao Paulo
VSOn the tape
Blue corner IslamMakhachevMakhachkala, Dagestan
Lightweight Title5 rounds22 Oct 2022
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 11-fight win streak.
  • Comes in on a 10-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 19 of 21 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 7 of 11 UFC wins.
37-11
Record
29-1
33
Age
−3 yr30
5' 10"
Height
5' 10"
+4″74″
Reach
70″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
+1830
UFC bouts
12
+27%19/2190% of wins
Finishes
7/1164% of wins
Guaruja, Sao Paulo
From
Makhachkala, Dagestan
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Charles Oliveira6 sig landed
HEAD17%1 of 5BODY83%5 of 6LEGS0%0 landed
Islam Makhachev12 sig landed
HEAD75%9 of 15BODY25%3 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
6 of 11
Sig.
strikes
12 of 18
0 of 0
Take-
downs
2 of 2
0:38
Control
3:48
0
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 2Clinch 2Ground 2
Where it
happened
Distance 5Clinch 3Ground 4
Round 23:16 of action⚡ 1 KD Makhachev1 sub attemptEnded 3:16
Charles Oliveira13 sig landed
HEAD46%6 of 18BODY54%7 of 9LEGS0%0 of 1
Islam Makhachev18 sig landed
HEAD89%16 of 20BODY11%2 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
13 of 28
Sig.
strikes
18 of 23
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:04
Control
1:17
0
Knock-
downs
1
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 8Clinch 5Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 16Clinch 2Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Islam Makhachev

Round
2
Clock
3:16
Method
Submission

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Jason Herzog.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Charles Oliveira

2.29takedowns / 15 min
2.29 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
3.10 / 15m
5.87 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
5.54 / 15m
39%
ACCURACY
56%
2.60 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.00 / 15m

Islam Makhachev

3.10takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Charles Oliveira↑ +8.9pp
open 27.6%close 36.5%
Islam Makhachev↓ −8.9pp
open 72.4%close 63.5%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Charles Oliveira opened at 27.6% and closed at 36.5% (+8.9pp), with Islam Makhachev moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Charles Oliveira25016127.6%36.5%+8.9pp
Islam Makhachev-300-20072.4%63.5%−8.9pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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