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Events · UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · Maryna Moroz vs Mariya Agapova
From the tape · 5 Mar 2022

Maryna Moroz vs Mariya Agapova

UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Maryna Moroz beat Mariya Agapova

Method
Submission
Round
2 of 3
Clock
3:27
Women's FlyweightMain cardReferee · Herb Dean

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner MarynaMoroz“Iron Lady”American Top Team · Vilnohirsk
VSOn the tape
MA
Blue corner MariyaAgapova“Money Mashka”MMA Science Academy · Pavlodar, Pavlodar
Women's Flyweight3 rounds5 Mar 2022
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Is 21 points more accurate striking than Moroz.
  • 8 UFC bouts deep — 5 more than Agapova.
11-6
Record
10-5
30
Age
−6 yr24
+1″5' 7"
Height
5' 6"
67″
Reach
+1″68″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
+58
UFC bouts
3
1/520% of wins
Finishes
2/2100% of wins
American Top Team
Gym
MMA Science Academy
Vilnohirsk
From
Pavlodar, Pavlodar
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action2 sub attempts
Maryna Moroz2 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 2BODY100%2 of 3LEGS0%0 of 1
Mariya Agapova10 sig landed
HEAD30%3 of 8BODY70%7 of 7LEGS0%0 of 3
2 of 6
Sig.
strikes
10 of 18
1 of 4
Take-
downs
0 of 0
3:28
Control
0:39
2
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 0Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 10Ground 0
Round 23:27 of action1 sub attemptEnded 3:27
Maryna Moroz26 sig landed
HEAD81%21 of 31BODY19%5 of 5LEGS0%0 landed
Mariya Agapova6 sig landed
HEAD67%4 of 7BODY33%2 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
26 of 36
Sig.
strikes
6 of 9
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
3:15
Control
0:01
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 2Clinch 5Ground 19
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 2Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Maryna Moroz

Round
2
Clock
3:27
Method
Submission

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Herb Dean.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Maryna Moroz

0.70takedowns / 15 min
0.70 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.55 / 15m
2.92 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
0.83 / 15m
24%
ACCURACY
66%
0.60 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.80 / 15m

Mariya Agapova

0.55takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (3.58 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Flyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Maryna Moroz↑ +2.8pp
open 35.7%close 38.5%
Mariya Agapova↓ −2.8pp
open 64.3%close 61.5%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Maryna Moroz opened at 35.7% and closed at 38.5% (+2.8pp), with Mariya Agapova moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Maryna Moroz17015035.7%38.5%+2.8pp
Mariya Agapova-200-17764.3%61.5%−2.8pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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