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Events · Sabina Mazo vs Mariya Agapova
From the tape · 9 Oct 2021

Sabina Mazo vs Mariya Agapova

Result

Mariya Agapova beat Sabina Mazo

Method
Submission
Round
3 of 3
Clock
0:53
Women's Flyweight

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

SM
Red corner SabinaMazo“Colombian Queen”Teixeira MMA & Fitness · Medellin, Antioquia
VSOn the tape
MA
Blue corner MariyaAgapova“Money Mashka”MMA Science Academy · Pavlodar, Pavlodar
Women's Flyweight3 rounds9 Oct 2021
The story going in
  • Lands 1.7 more significant strikes a minute than Agapova.
  • Is 11 points more accurate striking than Mazo.
9-4
Record
10-5
24
Age
24
+1″5' 7"
Height
5' 6"
+2″70″
Reach
68″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
+35
UFC bouts
2
1/333% of wins
Finishes
1/1100% of wins
Teixeira MMA & Fitness
Gym
MMA Science Academy
Medellin, Antioquia
From
Pavlodar, Pavlodar
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

No round-by-round tape on file

UFCStats has no per-round record for this bout, so there is no timeline to draw. The result and the finish above are unaffected — this is a hole in the round-by-round tape, and we will not fill it in from the fight totals.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Mariya Agapova

Round
3
Clock
0:53
Method
Submission

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Sabina Mazo

0.65takedowns / 15 min
0.65 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.55 / 15m
0.81 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
0.83 / 15m
80%
ACCURACY
66%
0.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.80 / 15m

Mariya Agapova

0.55takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (3.58 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Flyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Sabina Mazo↑ +1.5pp
open 62.1%close 63.6%
Mariya Agapova↓ −1.5pp
open 37.9%close 36.4%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Sabina Mazo opened at 62.1% and closed at 63.6% (+1.5pp), with Mariya Agapova moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Sabina Mazo-180-19962.1%63.6%+1.5pp
Mariya Agapova15516337.9%36.4%−1.5pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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