This Saturday Hooker vs Parnasse · Accor Arena Paris France See this week's picks →
Events · UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · Omari Akhmedov vs Brad Tavares
From the tape · 10 Jul 2021

Omari Akhmedov vs Brad Tavares

UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Brad Tavares beat Omari Akhmedov

Method
Decision - Split
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
MiddleweightMain cardReferee · Marc Goddard

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

OA
Red corner OmariAkhmedov“Wolverine”American Top Team · Makhachkala, Dagestan
VSOn the tape
Blue corner BradTavaresKailua, Hawaii
Middleweight3 rounds10 Jul 2021
The story going in
  • Has finished 3 of 9 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 2 of 13 UFC wins.
  • Averages 1.9 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Tavares.
  • 19 UFC bouts deep — 5 more than Akhmedov.
21-6-1
Record
21-13
33
Age
33
6' 0"
Height
+1″6' 1"
73″
Reach
+1″74″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
14
UFC bouts
+519
+18%3/933% of wins
Finishes
2/1315% of wins
Makhachkala, Dagestan
From
Kailua, Hawaii
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Omari Akhmedov11 sig landed
HEAD73%8 of 40BODY18%2 of 2LEGS9%1 of 1
Brad Tavares22 sig landed
HEAD68%15 of 30BODY14%3 of 4LEGS18%4 of 5
11 of 43
Sig.
strikes
22 of 39
1 of 4
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:05
Control
0:02
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 9Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 18Clinch 4Ground 0
Judges · this round · Akhmedov firstMichael Bell10–9Eric Colón9–10Ron McCarthy10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Omari Akhmedov17 sig landed
HEAD76%13 of 50BODY12%2 of 4LEGS12%2 of 2
Brad Tavares24 sig landed
HEAD50%12 of 24BODY8%2 of 3LEGS42%10 of 11
17 of 56
Sig.
strikes
24 of 38
1 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:37
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 17Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 23Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Akhmedov firstMichael Bell9–10Eric Colón10–9Ron McCarthy10–9
Round 35:00 of action⚡ 1 KD TavaresEnded 5:00
Omari Akhmedov20 sig landed
HEAD80%16 of 61BODY5%1 of 2LEGS15%3 of 4
Brad Tavares38 sig landed
HEAD55%21 of 49BODY18%7 of 11LEGS26%10 of 13
20 of 67
Sig.
strikes
38 of 73
0 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:07
0
Knock-
downs
1
Distance 20Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 37Clinch 0Ground 1
Judges · this round · Akhmedov firstMichael Bell9–10Eric Colón9–10Ron McCarthy9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Split Decision

Referee · Marc Goddard
Omari AkhmedovBrad Tavares
Official totals — Omari Akhmedov first
JudgeTotal
Michael Bell28–29
Eric Colón2.0 avg spread · 43% wide28–29
Ron McCarthy2.0 avg spread · 41% wide29–28

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 15 scored, Omari Akhmedov first · unofficial

Steve Duncan mma.uno27–30
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com27–30
Joe McDonagh Cageside Press27–30
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com27–30
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com27–30
Shawn Bitter Cageside Press27–30
Rob Tatum CombatPress.com27–30
MM AMania.com27–30
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com27–30
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com27–30
Dominik Durniat Polsat Sport28–29
Jillian DeCoursey CombatPress.com28–29
Eric Kowal MyMMANews.com28–29
MM AJunkie.com28–29
Ben Duffy Sherdog.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Tavares · 40%29-28 Tavares · 38%29-28 Akhmedov · 19%30-26 Tavares · 1%

104 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Omari Akhmedov

2.58takedowns / 15 min
2.58 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.70 / 15m
5.73 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.69 / 15m
45%
ACCURACY
26%
0.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Brad Tavares

0.70takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.86 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Middleweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Omari Akhmedov↑ +7.2pp
open 36.5%close 43.8%
Brad Tavares↓ −7.2pp
open 63.5%close 56.2%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Omari Akhmedov opened at 36.5% and closed at 43.8% (+7.2pp), with Brad Tavares moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Omari Akhmedov16511736.5%43.8%+7.2pp
Brad Tavares-190-14563.5%56.2%−7.2pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
← Every fighter on the record