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Events · UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · Dustin Poirier vs Conor McGregor
From the tape · 23 Jan 2021

Dustin Poirier vs Conor McGregor

UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Result

Dustin Poirier beat Conor McGregor

Method
KO/TKO
Round
2 of 5
Clock
2:32
LightweightMainReferee · Herb Dean

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner DustinPoirier“The Diamond”American Top Team · Carencro, Louisiana
VSOn the tape
Blue corner ConorMcGregor“The Notorious”SBG Ireland · Dublin
Lightweight5 rounds23 Jan 2021
The story going in
  • Has finished 11 of 18 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 8 of 10 UFC wins.
  • 24 UFC bouts deep — 12 more than McGregor.
30-10
Record
22-7
32
Age
32
5' 9"
Height
5' 9"
72″
Reach
+2″74″
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
+1224
UFC bouts
12
11/1861% of wins
Finishes
+19%8/1080% of wins
American Top Team
Gym
SBG Ireland
Carencro, Louisiana
From
Dublin
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Dustin Poirier17 sig landed
HEAD47%8 of 26BODY0%0 landedLEGS53%9 of 11
Conor McGregor15 sig landed
HEAD80%12 of 31BODY20%3 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
17 of 37
Sig.
strikes
15 of 34
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:40
Control
1:07
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 17Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 13Clinch 2Ground 0
Round 22:32 of action⚡ 1 KD PoirierEnded 2:32
Dustin Poirier31 sig landed
HEAD71%22 of 43BODY0%0 of 1LEGS29%9 of 10
Conor McGregor14 sig landed
HEAD79%11 of 29BODY7%1 of 1LEGS14%2 of 2
31 of 54
Sig.
strikes
14 of 32
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:02
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 29Clinch 0Ground 2
Where it
happened
Distance 14Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Dustin Poirier

Round
2
Clock
2:32
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Herb Dean.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Dustin Poirier

1.15takedowns / 15 min
1.15 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.67 / 15m
3.29 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
1.22 / 15m
35%
ACCURACY
55%
1.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.10 / 15m

Conor McGregor

0.67takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Dustin Poirier↓ −11.1pp
open 38.6%close 27.5%
Conor McGregor↑ +11.1pp
open 61.4%close 72.5%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Dustin Poirier opened at 38.6% and closed at 27.5% (−11.1pp), with Conor McGregor moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Dustin Poirier15024938.6%27.5%−11.1pp
Conor McGregor-175-31061.4%72.5%+11.1pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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