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Events · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · Arnold Allen vs Nik Lentz
From the tape · 25 Jan 2020

Arnold Allen vs Nik Lentz

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · Raleigh, North Carolina, USA
Result

Arnold Allen beat Nik Lentz

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
FeatherweightMain cardReferee · Wayne Spinola

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner ArnoldAllen“Almighty”Felixstowe, Suffolk
VSOn the tape
NL
Blue corner NikLentz“The Carny”Kill Cliff FC · St. Paul, Minnesota
Featherweight3 rounds25 Jan 2020
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 6-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 5 of 14 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 2 of 6 UFC wins.
  • 23 UFC bouts deep — 17 more than Allen.
21-4
Record
30-12-2
−9 yr26
Age
35
5' 8"
Height
5' 8"
+2″70″
Reach
68″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6
UFC bouts
+1723
2/633% of wins
Finishes
+2%5/1436% of wins
Felixstowe, Suffolk
From
St. Paul, Minnesota
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Arnold Allen20 sig landed
HEAD95%19 of 39BODY5%1 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
Nik Lentz16 sig landed
HEAD50%8 of 41BODY38%6 of 6LEGS12%2 of 2
20 of 41
Sig.
strikes
16 of 49
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 4
0:07
Control
0:56
Distance 20Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 14Clinch 2Ground 0
Judges · this round · Allen firstDerek Cleary9–10Chris Lee10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Arnold Allen29 sig landed
HEAD93%27 of 53BODY7%2 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
Nik Lentz24 sig landed
HEAD54%13 of 54BODY33%8 of 10LEGS12%3 of 4
29 of 56
Sig.
strikes
24 of 68
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 2
0:17
Control
0:17
Distance 28Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 19Clinch 5Ground 0
Judges · this round · Allen firstDerek Cleary10–9Chris Lee10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Arnold Allen14 sig landed
HEAD86%12 of 32BODY14%2 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
Nik Lentz9 sig landed
HEAD44%4 of 45BODY22%2 of 7LEGS33%3 of 3
14 of 34
Sig.
strikes
9 of 55
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 3
0:57
Control
0:04
Distance 13Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 9Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Allen firstDerek Cleary10–9Chris Lee10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Wayne Spinola
Arnold AllenNik Lentz
Official totals — Arnold Allen first
JudgeTotal
Derek Cleary2.0 avg spread · 42% wide29–28
Chris Lee2.0 avg spread · 44% wide30–27

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 12 scored, Arnold Allen first · unofficial

Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com30–27
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com30–27
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com30–27
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com30–27
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com30–27
Scottie Smith Sherdog.com30–27
Steve Duncan mma.uno29–28
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com29–28
Rob Tatum CombatPress.com29–28
Eric Kowal MyMMANews.com29–28
MM AMania.com29–28
MM AJunkie.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Allen · 54%30-27 Allen · 38%29-28 Lentz · 8%

48 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Arnold Allen

1.24takedowns / 15 min
1.24 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
3.30 / 15m
2.07 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
10.31 / 15m
60%
ACCURACY
32%
0.30 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.20 / 15m

Nik Lentz

3.30takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Arnold Allen↑ +1.0pp
open 67.4%close 68.4%
Nik Lentz↓ −1.0pp
open 32.6%close 31.6%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Arnold Allen opened at 67.4% and closed at 68.4% (+1.0pp), with Nik Lentz moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Arnold Allen-265-24767.4%68.4%+1.0pp
Nik Lentz18520432.6%31.6%−1.0pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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