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Events · UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · Aleksa Camur vs Justin Ledet
From the tape · 18 Jan 2020

Aleksa Camur vs Justin Ledet

UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Aleksa Camur beat Justin Ledet

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Light HeavyweightMain cardReferee · Herb Dean

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

AC
Red corner AleksaCamurStrong Style Fight Team · Ohio
VSOn the tape
JL
Blue corner JustinLedet“El Blanco”Houston, Texas
Light Heavyweight3 rounds18 Jan 2020
The story going in
  • Is 18 points more accurate striking than Ledet.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
6-3
Record
9-4
−7 yr24
Age
31
6' 1"
Height
+3″6' 4"
74″
Reach
+6″80″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ohio
From
Houston, Texas
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Aleksa Camur22 sig landed
HEAD45%10 of 36BODY18%4 of 9LEGS36%8 of 13
Justin Ledet7 sig landed
HEAD100%7 of 33BODY0%0 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
22 of 58
Sig.
strikes
7 of 34
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:08
Distance 20Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Camur firstDerek Cleary10–9Ron McCarthy10–9Tony Weeks10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Aleksa Camur34 sig landed
HEAD56%19 of 36BODY32%11 of 13LEGS12%4 of 7
Justin Ledet24 sig landed
HEAD62%15 of 44BODY38%9 of 10LEGS0%0 landed
34 of 56
Sig.
strikes
24 of 54
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:32
Distance 22Clinch 12Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 19Clinch 5Ground 0
Judges · this round · Camur firstDerek Cleary9–10Ron McCarthy10–9Tony Weeks10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Aleksa Camur24 sig landed
HEAD46%11 of 32BODY38%9 of 12LEGS17%4 of 7
Justin Ledet13 sig landed
HEAD92%12 of 40BODY8%1 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
24 of 51
Sig.
strikes
13 of 43
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:34
Distance 20Clinch 3Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 12Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Camur firstDerek Cleary10–9Ron McCarthy10–9Tony Weeks10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Herb Dean
Aleksa CamurJustin Ledet
Official totals — Aleksa Camur first
JudgeTotal
Derek Cleary2.0 avg spread · 42% wide29–28
Ron McCarthy2.0 avg spread · 41% wide30–27
Tony Weeks2.1 avg spread · 49% wide30–27

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 11 scored, Aleksa Camur first · unofficial

Steve Duncan mma.uno30–27
John Pollock POST Wrestling30–27
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com30–27
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com30–27
Dominik Durniat Polsat Sport30–27
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com30–27
Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com29–28
MM AJunkie.com29–28
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com29–28
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com29–28
MM AMania.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Camur · 51%29-28 Camur · 34%29-28 Ledet · 12%29-27 Camur · 2%

41 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Aleksa Camur

0.46takedowns / 15 min
0.46 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.23 / 15m
2.09 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
0.46 / 15m
22%
ACCURACY
50%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.20 / 15m

Justin Ledet

0.23takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.96 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Light Heavyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Aleksa Camur↑ +13.8pp
open 39.8%close 53.6%
Justin Ledet↓ −13.8pp
open 60.2%close 46.4%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Aleksa Camur opened at 39.8% and closed at 53.6% (+13.8pp), with Justin Ledet moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Aleksa Camur140-12839.8%53.6%+13.8pp
Justin Ledet-17010660.2%46.4%−13.8pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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