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Events · UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · JJ Aldrich vs Lauren Mueller
From the tape · 12 Oct 2019

JJ Aldrich vs Lauren Mueller

UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · Tampa, Florida, USA
Result

JJ Aldrich beat Lauren Mueller

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Women's FlyweightMain cardReferee · Kevin MacDonald

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner JJAldrich
VSOn the tape
LM
Blue corner LaurenMueller“Princess Tiger”Alliance MMA · San Diego, California
Women's Flyweight3 rounds12 Oct 2019
15-7
Record
5-3
27
Age
27
5' 5"
Height
5' 5"
67″
Reach
67″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
+25
UFC bouts
3
0/30% of wins
Finishes
0/10% of wins
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
JJ Aldrich11 sig landed
HEAD55%6 of 20BODY18%2 of 2LEGS27%3 of 3
Lauren Mueller9 sig landed
HEAD33%3 of 16BODY33%3 of 6LEGS33%3 of 3
11 of 25
Sig.
strikes
9 of 25
1 of 1
Take-
downs
1 of 1
1:30
Control
0:12
Distance 10Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 8Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Aldrich firstChris Lee10–9Michelle Olney10–9Tony Weeks10–9
Round 25:00 of action
JJ Aldrich25 sig landed
HEAD84%21 of 45BODY12%3 of 3LEGS4%1 of 3
Lauren Mueller26 sig landed
HEAD58%15 of 53BODY19%5 of 9LEGS23%6 of 6
25 of 51
Sig.
strikes
26 of 68
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:22
Control
0:09
Distance 23Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 25Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Aldrich firstChris Lee9–10Michelle Olney9–10Tony Weeks10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
JJ Aldrich38 sig landed
HEAD84%32 of 77BODY13%5 of 6LEGS3%1 of 1
Lauren Mueller19 sig landed
HEAD84%16 of 48BODY11%2 of 5LEGS5%1 of 1
38 of 84
Sig.
strikes
19 of 54
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 37Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 19Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Aldrich firstChris Lee10–9Michelle Olney10–9Tony Weeks10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Kevin MacDonald
JJ AldrichLauren Mueller
Official totals — JJ Aldrich first
JudgeTotal
Chris Lee2.0 avg spread · 44% wide29–28
Michelle Olney29–28
Tony Weeks2.1 avg spread · 49% wide30–27

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 13 scored, JJ Aldrich first · unofficial

Keith Shillan Sherdog.com30–27
Drake Riggs TheBodyLockMMA.com30–27
Cory Braiterman MMAMania.com30–27
MM ABrasil.com.br29–28
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com29–28
Tim Burke BloodyElbow.com29–28
Dominik Durniat Polsat Sport29–28
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com29–28
MM AJunkie.com29–28
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com29–28
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com29–28
Cole Shelton Sherdog.com29–28
Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Aldrich · 79%30-27 Aldrich · 21%

19 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

JJ Aldrich

0.70takedowns / 15 min
0.70 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.70 / 15m
2.80 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
1.40 / 15m
25%
ACCURACY
50%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Lauren Mueller

0.70takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (3.58 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Flyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

JJ Aldrichclose only
no opening line on recordclose 59.2%
Lauren Muellerclose only
no opening line on recordclose 40.8%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

We hold the closing consensus for this bout but no opening line, so the strip marks the close alone: JJ Aldrich 59.2%, Lauren Mueller 40.8%, vig removed.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
JJ Aldrich-16159.2%
Lauren Mueller17013540.8%
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10 · BestFightOdds has no fighter page scraped for J.J. Aldrich, so that corner’s CLOSE is read from the opponent’s row, which names it explicitly. No opening line exists for that corner and none is shown.. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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