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Events · UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · Belal Muhammad vs Takashi Sato
From the tape · 7 Sep 2019

Belal Muhammad vs Takashi Sato

UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Result

Belal Muhammad beat Takashi Sato

Method
Submission
Round
3 of 3
Clock
1:55
WelterweightMain cardReferee · Vjacheslav Kiselev

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner BelalMuhammad“Remember the Name”Roufusport · Chicago, Illinois
VSOn the tape
TS
Blue corner TakashiSato“Ten”Kill Cliff FC · Shinjuku, Tokyo
Welterweight3 rounds7 Sep 2019
The story going in
  • 9 UFC bouts deep — 8 more than Sato.
  • Carries 30 points more takedown defence than Sato.
24-6
Record
16-7
31
Age
−2 yr29
+1″5' 11"
Height
5' 10"
72″
Reach
+1″73″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
+89
UFC bouts
1
1/617% of wins
Finishes
1/1100% of wins
Roufusport
Gym
Kill Cliff FC
Chicago, Illinois
From
Shinjuku, Tokyo
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Belal Muhammad20 sig landed
HEAD80%16 of 30BODY15%3 of 9LEGS5%1 of 1
Takashi Sato9 sig landed
HEAD78%7 of 27BODY11%1 of 2LEGS11%1 of 1
20 of 40
Sig.
strikes
9 of 30
1 of 4
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:41
Control
0:00
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 15Clinch 1Ground 4
Where it
happened
Distance 9Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Belal Muhammad20 sig landed
HEAD85%17 of 37BODY10%2 of 6LEGS5%1 of 1
Takashi Sato12 sig landed
HEAD75%9 of 35BODY17%2 of 4LEGS8%1 of 1
20 of 44
Sig.
strikes
12 of 40
0 of 3
Take-
downs
1 of 2
0:20
Control
0:38
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 18Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 12Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 31:55 of action1 sub attemptEnded 1:55
Belal Muhammad9 sig landed
HEAD78%7 of 18BODY22%2 of 4LEGS0%0 landed
Takashi Sato8 sig landed
HEAD88%7 of 17BODY12%1 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
9 of 22
Sig.
strikes
8 of 19
1 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:29
Control
0:00
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 9Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 8Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Belal Muhammad

Round
3
Clock
1:55
Method
Submission

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Vjacheslav Kiselev.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Belal Muhammad

2.14takedowns / 15 min
2.14 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.76 / 15m
5.94 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.05 / 15m
36%
ACCURACY
37%
0.10 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Takashi Sato

0.76takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (4.97 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Welterweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Belal Muhammad↑ +11.1pp
open 65.3%close 76.4%
Takashi Sato↓ −11.1pp
open 34.7%close 23.6%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Belal Muhammad opened at 65.3% and closed at 76.4% (+11.1pp), with Takashi Sato moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Belal Muhammad-230-38565.3%76.4%+11.1pp
Takashi Sato17030734.7%23.6%−11.1pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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